Result
2:1
17/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Granby, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 49% | 56% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (33/49) | 58% (35/60) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (24/50) | 55% (26/47) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 54% (7/13) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (31/60) | 37% (18/49) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (21/47) | 52% (26/50) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 57% (4/7) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 41 | 22 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 62 | 39 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 48% (10/21) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (57/99) | 57% (60/106) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (46/106) | 42% (42/99) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (103/205) | 50% (102/205) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 57% (8/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 27% (4/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 59% (17/29) | 41% (12/29) |
Chances of winning
Sho Shimabukuro
57.2% | Rio Noguchi
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Sho Shimabukuro - Rio Noguchi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.73) |
|
2.18 ↑
(2.01) |
6.8%
(7.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Sho Shimabukuro - Rio Noguchi?
Users Predictions:
Sho Shimabukuro will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sho Shimabukuro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 208. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 209.
- Shimabukuro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Noguchi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Noguchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shimabukuro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sho Shimabukuro won against Rio Noguchi?
Sho Shimabukuro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Noguchi won against Sho Shimabukuro?
Rio Noguchi has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sho Shimabukuro - Rio Noguchi were as follows:
22.04.2025
Rio Noguchi
-
Sho Shimabukuro
2:0
Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
Latest results of Rio Noguchi
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Spizzirri E. (1) | Jubb P. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Andrade A. | Zink T. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Kypson P. | Nakagawa N. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Arseneault N. (WC) | Trotter J. K. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Watanuki Y. (4) | Sell K. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Wu Tung-Lin | Shimizu Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Gengel M. | Zhou Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Watt J. (Q) | Holmgren A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Jasika O. (8) | Boulais J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Mayo A. | Galarneau A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Rozin S. (Q) | van Wyk K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Perez A. (Q) | Draxl L. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Shimabukuro S. (5) | Aguilar J. C. M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Noguchi R. | Sekulic P. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Hsu Y. H. | Maloney P. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Martin A. (Q) | Blockx A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Spizzirri E. (1) | Zink T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kypson P. | Trotter J. K. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Watanuki Y. (4) | Shimizu Y. (WO.) | |
| 4 | Gengel M. | Holmgren A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Jasika O. (8) | Galarneau A. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | van Wyk K. | Draxl L. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Shimabukuro S. (5) | Noguchi R. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Hsu Y. H. | Blockx A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Spizzirri E. (1) | Trotter J. K. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shimizu Y. | Holmgren A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Galarneau A. | Draxl L. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Shimabukuro S. (5) | Blockx A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Spizzirri E. (1) | Holmgren A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Draxl L. (3) | Blockx A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Holmgren A. (6) | Draxl L. (3) | 2 : 0 |
