Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (290/345) | 67% (156/234) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (290/345) | 67% (156/234) |
| Long passes |
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| 64% (38/59) | 38% (24/64) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 75% (97/129) | 47% (38/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/34) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Tackles |
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| 80% (4/5) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
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| 24 | 38 |
| Clearances |
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| 26 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.22 | 0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Moreno K. 🟥,
- 31', Lara Vasquez N. ↓, Rivaldo J. ↑,
- 38', Ramirez M. 🟨,
- 40', Torres E. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Chaverra J. ↓, Wallens J. ↑,
- 48', Hernandez D. 🟨,
- 63', Lucumi C. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
- 73', Puerta M. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
- 73', Caballero J. ↓, Charales F. ↑,
- 75', Aponza Cantonil S. A. 🟨,
- 77', Munoz J. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 77', Castillo J. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, Rivaldo J. ⚽, Avalo Trejos J. E. (A),
- 82', Morelo W. ↓, Lozano D. ↑,
- 82', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rionegro Águilas
35.6% | Draw
30.6% | Alianza Valledupar
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rionegro Águilas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.32) |
3.05 ↑
(3.02) |
2.79 ↓
(3.24) |
6.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 2.
- Rionegro Águilas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Rionegro Águilas could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Alianza Valledupar?
Rionegro Águilas has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Rionegro Águilas?
Alianza Valledupar has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
04.06.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Rionegro Águilas
4:0
26.04.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Rionegro Águilas
0:0
06.11.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Rionegro Águilas
3:0
17.04.2024
Rionegro Águilas
-
Alianza Valledupar
4:0
15.10.2023
Rionegro Águilas
-
Alianza Valledupar
3:0
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 32:21 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 36:27 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 | America De Cali | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Alianza | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Pereira | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Chico | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
