Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (290/345) | 67% (156/234) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (290/345) | 67% (156/234) |
| Long passes |
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| 64% (38/59) | 38% (24/64) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 75% (97/129) | 47% (38/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/34) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Moreno K. 🟥,
- 31', Lara Vasquez N. ↓, Rivaldo J. ↑,
- 38', Ramirez M. 🟨,
- 40', Torres E. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Chaverra J. ↓, Wallens J. ↑,
- 48', Hernandez D. 🟨,
- 63', Lucumi C. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
- 73', Puerta M. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
- 73', Caballero J. ↓, Charales F. ↑,
- 75', Aponza Cantonil S. A. 🟨,
- 77', Munoz J. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 77', Castillo J. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, Rivaldo J. ⚽, Avalo Trejos J. E. (A),
- 82', Morelo W. ↓, Lozano D. ↑,
- 82', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rionegro Águilas
35.6% | Draw
30.6% | Alianza Valledupar
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rionegro Águilas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.32) |
3.05 ↑
(3.02) |
2.79 ↓
(3.24) |
6.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 2.
- Rionegro Águilas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Rionegro Águilas could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Alianza Valledupar?
Rionegro Águilas has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Rionegro Águilas?
Alianza Valledupar has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
04.06.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Rionegro Águilas
4:0
26.04.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Rionegro Águilas
0:0
06.11.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Rionegro Águilas
3:0
17.04.2024
Rionegro Águilas
-
Alianza Valledupar
4:0
15.10.2023
Rionegro Águilas
-
Alianza Valledupar
3:0
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 | Fortaleza | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3:17 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
