Rionegro Águilas vs Llaneros SA – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Rionegro Águilas - Llaneros SA
Result
1:2
06/04/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoVIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.33
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
78% (299/384)77% (270/351)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.850.78
Total shots
149
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2011
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
78% (299/384)77% (270/351)
Long passes
39% (28/71)48% (31/65)
Passes in final third
64% (91/142)47% (38/81)
Crosses
19% (4/21)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.28
Fouls
1010
Tackles
74% (14/19)100% (9/9)
Duels won
4729
Clearances Total
3021
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.781.85
Goals prevented
-0.220.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', Churi B. , Hinojosa R. ,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Hernandez D. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Celis G. 🟨,
  • 51', Espinal F. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Morelo W. ,
  • 62', Hinojosa R. 🟨,
  • 65', Yony Gonzalez , Benitez Hernandez R. A. ,
  • 70', Morelo W. 🟨,
  • 75', Caballero J. , Escobar Salcedo J. ,
  • 82', Morelo W. , Martinez C. ,
  • 83', Celis G. , Oliveros A. ,
  • 84', Sierra C. , Sierra M. ,
  • 84', Espinal F. , Rangel M. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Rangel M. ,
  • 90+1', Valencia K. , Mina Chara J. E. ,
  • 90+2', Martinez C. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Restrepo E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/37d8vbxj

Chances of winning


Rionegro Águilas
55.7%
Draw
27.5%
Llaneros SA
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 23.3% 15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 19.9% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rionegro Águilas's form might have worsened.
  • Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Rionegro Águilas - Llaneros SA Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.49)
    3.4
    (3.95)
    5.6
    (6.1)
    6.5%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Llaneros SA?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Llaneros SA will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 14).
    • Recent matches Rionegro Águilas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Llaneros SA is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Llaneros SA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Rionegro Águilas is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
    Latest results of Llaneros SA
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior33009:369
    2Atl. Nacional32017:436
    3Fortaleza22003:126
    4Santa Fe31203:215
    5Llaneros31202:115
    6Chico31114:314
    7Pereira31114:404
    8Alianza31112:204
    9La Equidad31112:3-14
    10Dep. Pasto11003:213
    11Deportes Tolima31023:4-13
    12Aguilas30212:3-12
    13Bucaramanga10101:101
    14America De Cali10100:001
    15Envigado20110:1-11
    16Ind. Medellin20111:3-21
    17Dep. Cali20110:2-21
    18U. Magdalena20111:4-31
    19Millonarios10010:1-10
    20Once Caldas20022:5-30

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