Result
4:1
31/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Toro S. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (454/511) | 74% (175/236) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.99 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (454/511) | 74% (175/236) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (14/37) | 51% (26/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (103/124) | 63% (50/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 3.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', Moreno Y. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Rivaldo J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 27', Valencia E. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 1, Sandoval L. ⚽,
- 45+2', Lopes H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Rivaldo J. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Sandoval L. ⚽, Torres Patino J. P. (A),
- 56', Ricaurte A. ↓, Suarez Chalare F. A. ↑,
- 56', Lopes H. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
- 61', Roa J. ↓, Uruena B. ↑,
- 62', Moreno Y. ↓, Mera J. ↑,
- 62', Arrieta C. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 63', Sandoval L. 🟨,
- 69', Hernandez D. 🟨,
- 70', 3 - 1, Torres Patino J. P. ⚽, Sandoval L. (A),
- 73', 4 - 1, Sandoval L. ⚽, Torres Patino J. P. (A),
- 74', Obregon J. ↓, Varela J. ↑,
- 76', Torres Patino J. P. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
- 76', Rovira B. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdhbjv79
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
54.1% | Draw
27.1% | Rionegro Águilas
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-2%)
Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.63) |
3.46 ↓
(3.69) |
4.91 ↓
(5.39) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas?
Users Predictions:
Deportes Tolima will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportes Tolima will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 3.
- Deportes Tolima is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rionegro Águilas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rionegro Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Deportes Tolima is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Deportes Tolima will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:16. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Rionegro Águilas?
Deportes Tolima has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Deportes Tolima?
Rionegro Águilas has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:
13.11.2025
Rionegro Águilas
-
Deportes Tolima
1:2
25.05.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Rionegro Águilas
1:2
02.11.2024
Rionegro Águilas
-
Deportes Tolima
0:1
12.04.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Rionegro Águilas
2:1
02.12.2023
Deportes Tolima
-
Rionegro Águilas
0:1
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Once Caldas ✔ | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 4 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 6 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 18 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 19 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
