Vélez Sársfield 2 vs River Plate 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
29/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Reserve League - Clausura - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaLPF Play

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, ,
  • 39', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield 2
28.4%
Draw
28.1%
River Plate 2
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 28.8% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 29.2% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vélez Sársfield 2's form might have worsened.
  • River Plate 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate 2's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez Sársfield 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vélez Sársfield 2 - River Plate 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (2.56)
    3.26
    (3.16)
    2.1
    (2.56)
    9.2%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield 2 - River Plate 2?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Vélez 2 (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • River Plate 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 1.
    • In recent matches, Vélez 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • River Plate 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • River Plate 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Vélez 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield 2 - River Plate 2 were as follows:
    28.05.2025 River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 1:0
    17.12.2024 River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 2:1
    01.08.2024 Vélez Sársfield 2 - River Plate 2 0:1
    22.02.2024 River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 2:1
    30.08.2023 River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 0:1
    Latest results of River Plate 2
    Argentinian Reserve League Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield 21081123:61725
    2Rosario Central 21053217:12518
    3Racing Club 21053216:11518
    4Talleres Cordoba 21044211:9216
    5Instituto 21036113:10315
    6Atl. Tucuman 21043312:11115
    7Gimnasia L.P. 21042413:10314
    8River Plate 21042412:10214
    9Argentinos Jrs 2103529:8114
    10Union de Santa Fe 21035213:13014
    11San Lorenzo 2104249:12-314
    12Sarmiento Junin 2103348:10-212
    13Banfield 2103347:9-212
    14Barracas Central 2103256:13-711
    15Tigre 2102357:10-39
    16Gimnasia Mendoza 2102356:13-79
    17Godoy Cruz 21022610:17-78
    18Aldosivi 2102179:19-107


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors 21072121:61523
    2Quilmes 21063110:3721
    3Defensa y Justicia 21062223:101320
    4Lanus 21062217:11620
    5Independiente 21052320:12817
    6Newells Old Boys 21052312:11117
    7Deportivo Riestra 21051417:9816
    8Huracan 21043316:10615
    9Platense 21043310:11-115
    10Estudiantes L.P. 2103347:6112
    11Ind. Rivadavia 21033411:11012
    12Ferro 21032510:14-411
    13Belgrano 21032513:20-711
    14Central Cordoba 21024411:20-910
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2101547:15-88
    16Atl. Rafaela 21021713:17-47
    17Colon Santa Fe 2102177:13-67
    18San Martin S.J. 2102089:33-246

          Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)