River Plate Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
21
Total shots
107
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Acosta L. 🟥,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Hernandez A. ,
  • 45+1', Gissi D. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Castro M. , Catarozzi F. ,
  • 46', Lopez I. , Olmos T. ,
  • 51', Pertusatti Gonzalez L. O. 🟨,
  • 60', Jourdan E. , Sanchez D. ,
  • 75', Napoli G. , Mir M. ,
  • 76', Vera A. , Cabrera F. ,
  • 76', Moreira M. , Alfonso M. ,
  • 82', Lemos L. 🟨,
  • 82', Sanchez D. 🟥,
  • 85', Amaro K. 🟨,
  • 86', Pertusatti Gonzalez L. O. , Escobar M. ,
  • 86', Hernandez A. , Machado R. ,
  • 87', De Leon F. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Vallejo N. , Suarez L. ,
  • 90+3', Bregante F. , Soria N. ,

Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
18.1%
Draw
25.3%
Liverpool Montevideo
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.5% 26.8% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5% 26.8% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.09
    (4.77)
    3.69
    (3.46)
    1.65
    (1.73)
    7.4%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Liverpool will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Liverpool (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 1.
    • River Plate has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Liverpool's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Liverpool is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo were as follows:
    22.06.2025 River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 2:1
    06.04.2025 Liverpool Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo 0:0
    04.10.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 1:1
    30.03.2024 Liverpool Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo 1:1
    06.12.2023 Liverpool Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo 2:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo751113:6716
    2Penarol751112:6616
    3Montevideo City742111:6514
    4Maldonado741211:8313
    5Liverpool M73227:5211
    6Danubio732211:10111
    7Defensor Sp73226:5111
    8Wanderers73226:9-311
    9Central Esp73138:7110
    10Nacional73138:8010
    11Cerro Largo73048:809
    12Albion72238:808
    13Boston River71243:7-45
    14Progreso71245:11-65
    15Juventud71157:12-54
    16CA Cerro70253:11-82

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