Nacional Montevideo vs River Plate Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo
Result
3:3
08/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • URUGUAY: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
1510
Shots on Goal
107
Shots off Goal
53
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
47
Yellow Cards
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, De Los Santos J. (Pen),
  • 13', De Los Santos J. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Villalba Jaume L. M. ,
  • 22', Villalba Jaume L. M. 🟨,
  • 28', Correa T. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 2, Lopez I. ,
  • 35', 2 - 2, Lopez N. ,
  • 38', Oliva C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Jourdan E. 🟨,
  • 57', 3 - 2, Lopez N. ,
  • 59', Recoba J. 🟨,
  • 59', Recoba J. , Arady B. ,
  • 59', Herazo D. , Eduardo Vargas ,
  • 68', Jourdan E. , Lopez I. ,
  • 69', Vera A. , Correa T. ,
  • 69', 3 - 3, Almeida C. ,
  • 75', Lopez I. 🟨,
  • 75', Camejo L. , Cabrera R. ,
  • 77', Boggio L. , Mederos R. ,
  • 77', Villalba Jaume L. M. , Otero R. ,
  • 78', Lopez I. , Barone F. ,
  • 81', Frascarelli D. 🟨,
  • 82', Lopez N. 🟨,
  • 87', Correa Gonzalez F. N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
72.2%
Draw
17.4%
River Plate Montevideo
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 19.7% 11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2% 18.9% 10.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Nacional Montevideo aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.35)
    5.36
    (4.75)
    9.03
    (8.5)
    7.3%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2.
    • Nacional is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches River Plate is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Nacional is certain favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Nacional won 9 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 34:20 (average 1.7:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 24:8 (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo were as follows:
    18.08.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 3:3
    07.05.2024 Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo 2:2
    11.04.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 2:0
    16.02.2024 Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo 2:1
    04.11.2023 River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 0:3
    Draw
    Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs

    Final
    1NacionalPenarol0 : 1