Rosario Central vs River Plate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilESPN 4
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
israelIsraelSport 2
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, #Vamos
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.58
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
73% (195/268)76% (235/309)
Yellow Cards
28
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.58
xG on target (xGOT)
2.280.40
Total shots
189
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
168
Passes
73% (195/268)76% (235/309)
Long passes
53% (29/55)37% (18/49)
Passes in final third
66% (57/86)60% (49/82)
Crosses
29% (7/24)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.47
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
816
Tackles
61% (11/18)52% (13/25)
Duels won
6148
Clearances
1629
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.402.28
Goals prevented
-0.600.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Miguel Borja , Quintero J. (A),
  • 13', Rivero L. 🟨,
  • 16', Coronel E. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Ibarra F. ,
  • 26', Montiel G. 🟨,
  • 34', Portillo J. 🟨,
  • 38', Acuna M. 🟨,
  • 39', Portillo J. 🟨,
  • 39', Armani F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Acuna M. , Casco M. ,
  • 46', Coronel E. , Gimenez E. ,
  • 50', Mallo Blanco F. 🟨,
  • 56', Duarte G. , Copetti E. ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Malcorra I. ,
  • 68', Giuliano Galoppo , Fernandez N. ,
  • 68', Quintero J. , Lencina S. ,
  • 74', Castano K. 🟨,
  • 77', Miguel Borja 🟨,
  • 80', Colidio F. , Dadin B. ,
  • 86', Malcorra I. , Navarro F. ,
  • 90', Campaz J. , Ovando I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rosario Central
34.7%
Draw
35.9%
River Plate
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 29.2% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 29% 37.9%

Rosario Central - River Plate Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.79
(2.85)
2.71
(3.2)
3.4
(2.45)
2.3%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Rosario Central - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 2 - 20%). River Plate will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 1.
    • Rosario has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • River Plate is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rosario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Gutierrez K. (Knee Injury) Modica A. (Muscle Injury) O'Connor T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Costantini G. (Inactive) Driussi S. (Injury) Martinez P. (Calf Injury) Meza M. (Knee Injury) Perez E. (Inactive) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury) Salas M. (Red Card) Subiabre I. (International duty)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rosario won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rosario Central - River Plate were as follows:
    29.03.2025 River Plate - Rosario Central 2:2
    08.12.2024 River Plate - Rosario Central 4:0
    07.04.2024 River Plate - Rosario Central 2:1
    22.12.2023 River Plate - Rosario Central 2:0
    09.12.2023 River Plate - Rosario Central 0:1
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Latest results of River Plate
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Boca JuniorsTalleres Cordoba2 : 0
    2Velez SarsfieldArgentinos Jrs0 : 2
    3Racing ClubRiver Plate3 : 2
    4LanusTigre0 : 1
    5Dep. RiestraBarracas Central0 : 1
    6Union de Santa FeGimnasia L.P.1 : 2
    7Central CordobaSan Lorenzo2 : 1
    8Rosario CentralEstudiantes L.P.0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Boca JuniorsArgentinos Jrs1 : 0
    2Racing ClubTigre1 : 0
    3Barracas CentralGimnasia L.P.0 : 2
    4Central CordobaEstudiantes L.P.0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Boca JuniorsRacing Club
    2Gimnasia L.P.Estudiantes L.P.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2