Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, #Vamos |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (195/268) | 76% (235/309) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (195/268) | 76% (235/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (29/55) | 37% (18/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (57/86) | 60% (49/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 52% (13/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 2.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Miguel Borja ⚽, Quintero J. (A),
- 13', Rivero L. 🟨,
- 16', Coronel E. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 1, Ibarra F. ⚽,
- 26', Montiel G. 🟨,
- 34', Portillo J. 🟨,
- 38', Acuna M. 🟨,
- 39', Portillo J. 🟨,
- 39', Armani F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Acuna M. ↓, Casco M. ↑,
- 46', Coronel E. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
- 50', Mallo Blanco F. 🟨,
- 56', Duarte G. ↓, Copetti E. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 1, Malcorra I. ⚽,
- 68', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 68', Quintero J. ↓, Lencina S. ↑,
- 74', Castano K. 🟨,
- 77', Miguel Borja 🟨,
- 80', Colidio F. ↓, Dadin B. ↑,
- 86', Malcorra I. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
- 90', Campaz J. ↓, Ovando I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rosario Central
34.7% | Draw
35.9% | River Plate
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and River Plate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rosario Central - River Plate Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↓
(2.85) |
2.71 ↓
(3.2) |
3.4 ↑
(2.45) |
2.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Rosario Central - River Plate?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 2 - 20%). River Plate will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 1.
- Rosario has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- River Plate is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rosario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J.
(Knee Injury)
Gutierrez K.
(Knee Injury)
Modica A.
(Muscle Injury)
O'Connor T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in River Plate: Costantini G.
(Inactive)
Driussi S.
(Injury)
Martinez P.
(Calf Injury)
Meza M.
(Knee Injury)
Perez E.
(Inactive)
Pezzella G.
(Knee Injury)
Ruberto A.
(Knee Injury)
Salas M.
(Red Card)
Subiabre I.
(International duty)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rosario won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against River Plate?
Rosario Central has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Rosario Central?
River Plate has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rosario Central - River Plate were as follows:
29.03.2025
River Plate
-
Rosario Central
2:2
08.12.2024
River Plate
-
Rosario Central
4:0
07.04.2024
River Plate
-
Rosario Central
2:1
22.12.2023
River Plate
-
Rosario Central
2:0
09.12.2023
River Plate
-
Rosario Central
0:1
Latest results of Rosario Central
Latest results of River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 |
| 5 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
