Tommy Paul vs Roberto Bautista-Agut – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
2	0
Double Faults
0	0
1st Serve Percentage
49%	53%
1st Serve Points Won
86% (19/22)	64% (18/28)
2nd Serve Points Won
61% (14/23)	44% (11/25)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)	0% (0/4)
1st Return Points Won
36% (10/28)	14% (3/22)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (14/25)	39% (9/23)
Break Points Converted
100% (4/4)	0% (0/0)
Winners
18	8
Unforced Errors
14	20
Net Points Won
100% (4/4)	50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
73% (33/45)	55% (29/53)
Return Points Won
45% (24/53)	27% (12/45)
Total Points Won
58% (57/98)	42% (41/98)
Last 10 Balls
7	3
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
100% (8/8)	56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)	0% (0/8)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)	29% (5/17)

Chances of winning

Tommy Paul
76.4%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.33)		4 ↑ (3.37)	4.9% (4.9%)

What is the prediction for Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 64.6% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paul (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Paul is ranked ATP: 12. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 56.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paul won 3.
Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Paul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Paul is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Paul won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Tommy Paul won against Roberto Bautista-Agut?

Tommy Paul has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Roberto Bautista-Agut won against Tommy Paul?

Roberto Bautista-Agut has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut were as follows:

07.07.2024 Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut 3:0

23.01.2023 Roberto Bautista-Agut - Tommy Paul 1:3

01.11.2022 Roberto Bautista-Agut - Tommy Paul 0:2

Latest results of Tommy Paul

30.04.2025 Jack Draper - Tommy Paul 2:0 ✺

29.04.2025 Karen Khachanov - Tommy Paul 1:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Joao Fonseca - Tommy Paul 0:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby 1:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Tommy Paul - Colton Smith 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Roberto Bautista-Agut

08.05.2025 Matteo Arnaldi - Roberto Bautista-Agut 0:2 ✺

25.04.2025 Alexander Zverev - Roberto Bautista-Agut 2:0 ✺

23.04.2025 Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jaume Munar 2:1 ✺

15.04.2025 Roberto Bautista-Agut - Botic Van De Zandschulp 1:2 ✺

09.04.2025 Roberto Bautista-Agut - Casper Ruud 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bye
2	Navone M.	Cina F. (WC)	2 : 0
3	De Jong J. (LL)	Shevchenko A. (Q)	2 : 0
4	Bye	Davidovich Fokina A. (25)
5	Cerundolo F. (17)	Bye
6	Gaston H.	Jarry N.	0 : 2
7	Carballes Baena R. (RET.)	Ofner S. (Q)	0 : 1
8	Bye	Tiafoe F. (15)
9	Shelton B. (12)	Bye
10	Barrios Vera T. (Q)	Munar J.	1 : 2
11	Vukic A.	Moreno De Alboran N. (Q)	2 : 0
12	Bye	Korda S. (22)
13	Berrettini M. (29)	Bye
14	Fearnley J.	Fognini F. (WC)	2 : 0
15	Bublik A.	Safiullin R.	2 : 0
16	Bye	Ruud C. (6)
17	Fritz T. (4)	Bye
18	Diallo G.	Giron M.	1 : 2
19	Bellucci M.	Martinez P.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Hurkacz H. (30)
21	Mensik J. (20)	Bye
22	Rinderknech A.	Gigante M. (WC)	0 : 2
23	Marozsan F.	Fonseca J.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Rublev A. (16)
25	Paul T. (11)	Bye
26	Arnaldi M.	Bautista-Agut R.	0 : 2
27	Tien L.	Opelka R. (PR)	2 : 0
28	Bye	Machac T. (19)
29	Dellien H. (LL)	Bye
30	Borges N.	Seyboth Wild T. (Q)	1 : 2
31	Nardi L. (WC)	Cobolli F.	2 : 0
32	Bye	De Minaur A. (7)
33	Draper J. (5)	Bye
34	Bu Y.	Darderi L.	0 : 2
35	Kopriva V. (Q)	Halys Q.	2 : 0
36	Bye	Baez S. (32)
37	Humbert U. (21)	Bye
38	Hijikata R.	Moutet C.	1 : 2
39	Altmaier D.	Comesana F.	0 : 2
40	Bye	Rune H. (9)
41	Dimitrov G. (14)	Bye
42	Passaro F. (WC)	Tseng C. H. (Q)	2 : 1
43	Sonego L.	Burruchaga R. A. (Q)	0 : 2
44	Bye	Khachanov K. (23)
45	Michelsen A. (31)	Bye
46	Djere L.	Etcheverry T. M.	2 : 0
47	Nishioka Y.	Lajovic D. (Q)	0 : 2
48	Bye	Alcaraz C. (3)
49	Musetti L. (8)	Bye
50	Medjedovic H.	Virtanen O. (Q)	0 : 2
51	Thompson J.	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 1
52	Bye	Nakashima B. (28)
53	Popyrin A. (24)	Bye
54	Taberner C. (Q)	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
55	O'Connell C.	Norrie C. (LL)	0 : 2
56	Bye	Medvedev D. (10)
57	Fils A. (13)	Bye
58	Griekspoor T.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
59	Lehecka J.	Muller A.	1 : 2
60	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (18)
61	Shapovalov D. (27)	Bye
62	Gaubas V. (Q)	Dzumhur D.	2 : 1
63	Ugo Carabelli C.	Carreno-Busta P. (LL)	2 : 1
64	Bye	Zverev A. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Navone M.	2 : 0
2	De Jong J.	Davidovich Fokina A. (25)	2 : 0
3	Cerundolo F. (17)	Jarry N.	2 : 0
4	Ofner S.	Tiafoe F. (15)	2 : 1
5	Shelton B. (12)	Munar J.	0 : 2
6	Vukic A.	Korda S. (22)	0 : 2
7	Berrettini M. (29)	Fearnley J.	2 : 0
8	Bublik A.	Ruud C. (6)	1 : 2
9	Fritz T. (4)	Giron M.	0 : 2
10	Martinez P.	Hurkacz H. (30)	0 : 2
11	Mensik J. (20)	Gigante M.	2 : 0
12	Marozsan F.	Rublev A. (16)	2 : 1
13	Paul T. (11)	Bautista-Agut R.	2 : 0
14	Tien L.	Machac T. (19)	0 : 2
15	Dellien H.	Seyboth Wild T.	2 : 1
16	Nardi L.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
17	Draper J. (5)	Darderi L.	2 : 0
18	Kopriva V.	Baez S. (32)	2 : 1
19	Humbert U. (RET.) (21)	Moutet C.	0 : 1
20	Comesana F.	Rune H. (9)	1 : 2
21	Dimitrov G. (14)	Passaro F.	0 : 2
22	Burruchaga R. A.	Khachanov K. (23)	1 : 2
23	Michelsen A. (31)	Djere L.	0 : 2
24	Lajovic D.	Alcaraz C. (3)	0 : 2
25	Musetti L. (8)	Virtanen O.	2 : 0
26	Thompson J.	Nakashima B. (WO.) (28)
27	Popyrin A. (24)	Taberner C.	2 : 0
28	Norrie C.	Medvedev D. (10)	0 : 2
29	Fils A. (13)	Griekspoor T.	2 : 0
30	Muller A.	Tsitsipas S. (18)	0 : 2
31	Shapovalov D. (27)	Gaubas V.	0 : 2
32	Ugo Carabelli C.	Zverev A. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	De Jong J.	2 : 0
2	Cerundolo F. (17)	Ofner S.	2 : 0
3	Munar J.	Korda S. (22)	2 : 0
4	Berrettini M. (RET.) (29)	Ruud C. (6)	0 : 1
5	Giron M.	Hurkacz H. (30)	1 : 2
6	Mensik J. (20)	Marozsan F.	2 : 0
7	Paul T. (11)	Machac T. (19)	2 : 1
8	Dellien H.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
9	Draper J. (5)	Kopriva V.	2 : 0
10	Moutet C.	Rune H. (9)	2 : 1
11	Passaro F.	Khachanov K. (23)	0 : 2
12	Djere L.	Alcaraz C. (3)	0 : 2
13	Musetti L. (8)	Nakashima B. (28)	2 : 0
14	Popyrin A. (24)	Medvedev D. (10)	0 : 2
15	Fils A. (13)	Tsitsipas S. (18)	2 : 1
16	Gaubas V.	Zverev A. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Cerundolo F. (17)	2 : 0
2	Munar J.	Ruud C. (6)	0 : 2
3	Hurkacz H. (30)	Mensik J. (20)	2 : 1
4	Paul T. (11)	De Minaur A. (7)	2 : 0
5	Draper J. (5)	Moutet C.	2 : 1
6	Khachanov K. (23)	Alcaraz C. (3)	1 : 2
7	Musetti L. (8)	Medvedev D. (10)	2 : 0
8	Fils A. (13)	Zverev A. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Ruud C. (6)	2 : 0
2	Hurkacz H. (30)	Paul T. (11)	0 : 2
3	Draper J. (5)	Alcaraz C. (3)	0 : 2
4	Musetti L. (8)	Zverev A. (2)	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Paul T. (11)	2 : 1
2	Alcaraz C. (3)	Musetti L. (8)	2 : 0

Final

1

Sinner J. (1)

Alcaraz C. (3)

0 : 2