Roberto Carballes Baena vs Matteo Berrettini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Marrakech Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Berrettini
Result
0:2
07/04/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech (Morocco), clay - Final
  • Referee: Lahyani M. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
finlandFinlandMTV Urheilu
franceFranceEurosport 2
polandPolandPolsat Sport News
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub

Match Stats

Aces
05
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
74%71%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (27/48)74% (35/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
65% (11/17)47% (9/19)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)88% (7/8)
1st Return Points Won
28% (13/47)44% (21/48)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (10/19)35% (6/17)
Break Points Converted
13% (1/8)57% (4/7)
Max Points In Row
68
Service Points Won
57% (35/61)67% (44/66)
Return Points Won
33% (22/66)43% (26/61)
Total Points Won
45% (57/127)55% (70/127)
Max Games In Row
25
Service Games Won
60% (6/10)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)40% (4/10)
Total Games Won
35% (7/20)65% (13/20)

Chances of winning


Roberto Carballes Baena
31.1%
Matteo Berrettini
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8% 64.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Carballes Baena's form might have worsened.
  • Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Berrettini's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Berrettini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (2.61)

    1.39
    (1.5)
    4.3%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Berrettini?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Berrettini will win (votes: 19 - 79.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 63%95.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Carballes Baena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Berrettini is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Berrettini is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Berrettini to win the game is with odds 1.42.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Berrettini were as follows:
    20.10.2022 Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Berrettini 0:2
    12.10.2022 Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Berrettini 2:1
    Latest results of Matteo Berrettini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Griekspoor T. (1)Bye
    2Carreno-Busta P.Lalami Laaroussi Y. (WC)2 : 0
    3Coria F. (Q)Herbert P. (Q)1 : 2
    4Kotov P.Bellucci M. (8)0 : 2
    5Muller A. (3)Bye
    6Vukic A.Dellien H.1 : 2
    7Benchetrit E. (WC)De Jong J.0 : 2
    8Majchrzak K. (Q)Munar J. (6)2 : 0
    9Carballes Baena R. (5)Baadi T. (WC)2 : 0
    10Altmaier D.Virtanen O.1 : 2
    11Fognini F.Collignon R.0 : 2
    12ByeBorges N. (4)
    13Darderi L. (7)Boyer T.2 : 0
    14Cerundolo J. M. (Q)Gaston H.1 : 2
    15Kopriva V.Gojo B. (PR)2 : 1
    16ByeSonego L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Griekspoor T. (1)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 1
    2Herbert P.Bellucci M. (8)0 : 2
    3Muller A. (3)Dellien H.2 : 1
    4De Jong J.Majchrzak K.0 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (5)Virtanen O.2 : 0
    6Collignon R.Borges N. (4)1 : 2
    7Darderi L. (7)Gaston H.2 : 1
    8Kopriva V.Sonego L. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Griekspoor T. (1)Bellucci M. (8)2 : 0
    2Muller A. (3)Majchrzak K.0 : 2
    3Carballes Baena R. (5)Borges N. (4)2 : 0
    4Darderi L. (7)Kopriva V.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Griekspoor T. (1)Majchrzak K.2 : 0
    2Carballes Baena R. (5)Darderi L. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Griekspoor T. (1)Darderi L. (7)0 : 2