Eastleigh vs Rochdale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
14/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
216
Shots on target
111
Corner kicks
26
Yellow cards
10
Total shots
216
Shots on target
111
Shots off target
15
Corner kicks
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Dieseruvwe E. , Barlow A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 61', 0 - 2, Pettit C. , Rodney D. (A),
  • 62', Brindley R. , Humphries L. ,
  • 68', Maher N. 🟨,
  • 71', 0 - 3, Ebanks-Landell E. ,
  • 72', Effiong I. , Tabor J. ,
  • 72', Maher N. , Waite J. ,
  • 72', Cousins J. , Evans K. ,
  • 73', Rodney D. , Smith T. ,
  • 73', Barlow A. , Burger J. ,
  • 73', Moss D. , Bilongo B. ,
  • 80', Dieseruvwe E. , Henderson I. ,
  • 80', East R. , Francis E. ,
  • 88', 1 - 3, Tabor J. ,

Chances of winning


Eastleigh
15.5%
Draw
23.3%
Rochdale
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17% 22.1% 60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5% 21.4% 62.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Eastleigh - Rochdale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6
    (5.38)
    4.03
    (4.15)
    1.52
    (1.51)
    7.3%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Eastleigh - Rochdale?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).
    • Eastleigh has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Rochdale is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Eastleigh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Rochdale is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 1:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Eastleigh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Eastleigh - Rochdale were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Rochdale - Eastleigh 2:0
    12.04.2025 Rochdale - Eastleigh 4:0
    21.09.2024 Eastleigh - Rochdale 4:2
    16.03.2024 Eastleigh - Rochdale 1:4
    19.08.2023 Rochdale - Eastleigh 2:0
    Latest results of Eastleigh
    10.03.2026 Eastleigh - Brackley Town 2:1
    07.03.2026 York City - Eastleigh 3:1
    25.02.2026 Eastleigh - Truro City 2:1
    21.02.2026 Morecambe - Eastleigh 4:0
    Latest results of Rochdale
    07.03.2026 Rochdale - Boston United 1:0
    03.03.2026 Rochdale - Brackley Town 3:2
    28.02.2026 Aldershot Town - Rochdale 0:2
    24.02.2026 Halifax Town - Rochdale 2:2
    21.02.2026 Rochdale - Woking 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Bye
    2Scunthorpe (5)Southend (6)1 : 0
    3Carlisle (3)Bye
    4Boreham Wood (4)Forest Green (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Scunthorpe (5)
    2Carlisle (3)Boreham Wood (4)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2