Rochdale vs Scunthorpe United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League
Result
1:1
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
135
Shots on target
13
Corner kicks
62
Yellow cards
04
Total shots
135
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
122
Corner kicks
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Roberts C. ⚽,
  • 29', Barlow A. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
  • 32', 1 - 1, East R. ⚽,
  • 37', Evans W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Westbrooke Z. 🟨,
  • 56', Mahady R. 🟨,
  • 64', Gilmour H. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
  • 71', Beestin A. ↓, Ubaezuonu C. ↑,
  • 82', Whitehall D. ↓, Dausch A. ↑,
  • 83', Ubaezuonu C. 🟨,
  • 90', Roberts C. ↓, Starbuck J. ↑,
  • 90+1', Rodney D. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
  • 90+1', Burger J. ↓, Francis E. ↑,

Chances of winning


Rochdale
54.6%		Draw
25.3%		Scunthorpe United
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 24% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 25.9% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rochdale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
    •

    Rochdale - Scunthorpe United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.7 ↑
    (1.64)    		 3.66 ↓
    (3.87)    		 4.6 ↓
    (4.78)    		 8.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Rochdale - Scunthorpe United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Rochdale (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Rochdale will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Scunthorpe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Rochdale is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
    Latest results of Rochdale
    14.02.2026 Yeovil Town - Rochdale 1:1
    11.02.2026 Rochdale - Forest Green Rovers 2:1 ✺
    07.02.2026 Rochdale - Carlisle United 1:0
    03.02.2026 Rochdale - Boreham Wood 4:1 ✺
    27.01.2026 Rochdale - Southend United 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Scunthorpe United
    14.02.2026 Scunthorpe United - Boston United 3:6
    10.02.2026 Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United 3:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Scunthorpe United - Southend United 1:0
    31.01.2026 Scunthorpe United - Horsham 1:2
    24.01.2026 Scunthorpe United - Forest Green Rovers 3:2 ✺
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1York City35258292:326083
    2Rochdale34264465:234282
    3Carlisle35225864:422271
    4Boreham Wood34197865:422364
    5Forest Green361711860:421862
    6Scunthorpe341710760:491161
    7FC Halifax361581355:53253
    8Southend31157952:292352
    9Hartlepool341312942:37551
    10Tamworth341291345:54-945
    11Solihull Moors3411101358:54443
    12Boston Utd3511101446:51-543
    13Aldershot341261660:63-342
    14Altrincham351241941:54-1340
    15Wealdstone321091338:51-1339
    16Eastleigh351091644:60-1639
    17Woking311081341:38338
    18Yeovil331151735:47-1238
    19Sutton348121448:56-836
    20Brackley Town33991528:44-1636
    21Braintree35891827:51-2433
    22Morecambe35692046:75-2927
    23Gateshead33752139:76-3726
    24Truro34662233:61-2824

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

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