Rochdale vs Southend United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League Rochdale - Southend United
Result
3:4 ET
15/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
74
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
914
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
210
Corner Kicks
48
Goalkeeper Saves
04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Rodney D. , Adebayo-Rowling T. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Ralph N. , Scott-Morriss G. (A),
  • 28', 2 - 1, Bird J. , Allarakhia T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 56', 3 - 1, Rodney D. (Pen),
  • 60', Bridge J. , Bonne M. ,
  • 60', Walker J. , Chambers-Parillon L. ,
  • 64', Allarakhia T. , Hogan L. ,
  • 66', Barlow A. 🟨,
  • 71', Barlow A. , Henderson I. ,
  • 72', Hogan L. 🟨,
  • 74', 3 - 2, Hopper T. ,
  • 79', Bird J. , Mitchell K. ,
  • 80', 3 - 3, Chambers-Parillon L. ,
  • 90+4', Coker O. , Miley C. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 98', Hopper T. , Kendall C. ,
  • 101', 3 - 4, Kendall C. , Goodliffe B. (A),
  • 106', Beckwith S. , Buyabu J. ,
  • 106', Ebanks-Landell E. , Ayinde L. ,
  • 109', East R. , Weston C. ,
  • 114', Chambers-Parillon L. 🟨,
  • 114', Gordon K. 🟨,
  • 115', Husin N. , Gubbins J. ,
  • 117', Scott-Morriss G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rochdale
38.9%
Draw
28.8%
Southend United
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 27.9% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 27.5% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Rochdale - Southend United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.2)
    3.23
    (3.38)
    2.91
    (3.23)
    7.2%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Rochdale - Southend United?
  • Users Predictions: Rochdale will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 2.
    • Rochdale is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Southend has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rochdale - Southend United were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Southend United - Rochdale 1:1
    19.10.2024 Rochdale - Southend United 0:1
    20.04.2024 Southend United - Rochdale 1:2
    30.09.2023 Rochdale - Southend United 2:2
    Latest results of Rochdale
    05.05.2025 Braintree Town - Rochdale 2:0
    29.04.2025 Solihull Moors - Rochdale 0:1
    21.04.2025 Rochdale - Fylde 0:0
    18.04.2025 Altrincham - Rochdale 1:2
    Latest results of Southend United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Forest Green862015:41120
    2Rochdale760115:41118
    3Carlisle852117:61117
    4Southend852114:5917
    5Scunthorpe642013:6714
    6Boreham Wood742114:10414
    7Hartlepool83419:3613
    8York City633012:4812
    9Altrincham840412:11112
    10Wealdstone840411:13-212
    11Tamworth83148:12-410
    12Gateshead831411:21-1010
    13Aldershot823322:1759
    14Brackley Town72328:809
    15Eastleigh73047:8-19
    16Woking822411:12-18
    17FC Halifax82248:14-68
    18Yeovil82159:14-57
    19Boston Utd72147:12-57
    20Braintree82156:13-77
    21Solihull Moors81347:14-76
    22Sutton812510:17-75
    23Truro81166:14-84
    24Morecambe51043:13-103

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation