Rochester Americans vs Providence Bruins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey AHL Rochester Americans - Providence Bruins
Result
4:3 penalties
14/03/2025 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USA: AHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
4329
Shooting PCT
6.98% (3/43)10.34% (3/29)
Goalkeeper Saves
2640
Saves PCT
89.66% (26/29)93.02% (40/43)
Penalties
66
PIM
1212
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
16.67% (1/6)16.67% (1/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
83.33% (5/6)83.33% (5/6)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 2)
  • 03:45, 0 - 1, Truchon-Viel J. (G), Pitlick T. (A), Gaudet J. (A2)
  • 10:52, 0 - 2, Truchon-Viel J. (G), Pitlick T. (A), Gaudet J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 05:38, 1 - 2, Brannstrom E. (G), Ostlund N. (A), Jobst M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 01:10, 2 - 2, Jobst M. (G), Rathbone J. (A), Johnson R. (A2)
  • 13:52, 2 - 3, Wahlstrom O. (G), Merkulov G. (A), Poitras M. (A2)
  • 17:43, 3 - 3, Rosen I. (G), Rousek L. (A), Brannstrom E. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (1 - 0)
  • 1, Ostlund N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Wahlstrom O. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Rathbone J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Merkulov G. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Murray B. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Pitlick T. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Rochester Americans
37.5%
Draw
23.7%
Providence Bruins
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 24.6% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 19.7% 48%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rochester Americans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Providence Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rochester Americans that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Providence Bruins than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Providence Bruins could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rochester Americans - Providence Bruins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.46)
    3.88
    (3.7)
    2.41
    (2.37)
    7.9%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 2 and 4).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochester won 3.
    • Rochester has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Providence is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Rochester have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Rochester won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 45:58 (average 2.6:3.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Rochester won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:29 (average 2.9:3.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rochester Americans - Providence Bruins were as follows:
    24.01.2025 Providence Bruins - Rochester Americans 3:0
    06.04.2024 Providence Bruins - Rochester Americans 2:3
    22.12.2023 Rochester Americans - Providence Bruins 3:6
    26.02.2023 Providence Bruins - Rochester Americans 1:5
    23.11.2022 Rochester Americans - Providence Bruins 4:3
    Latest results of Rochester Americans
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Bye
    2Toronto Marlies (4)Cleveland Monsters (5)0 : 2
    3Rochester Americans (2)Bye
    4ByeSyracuse Crunch (3)
    5Hershey Bears (1)Bye
    6Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (4)Lehigh Valley Phantoms (5)0 : 2
    7Charlotte Checkers (2)Bye
    8Providence Bruins (3)Springfield Thunderbirds (6)2 : 1
    9Colorado Eagles (1)Bye
    10Ontario Reign (3)San Jose Barracuda (6)0 : 2
    11Abbotsford Canucks (2)Tucson Roadrunners (7)2 : 1
    12Coachella Valley Firebirds (4)Calgary Wranglers (5)2 : 0
    13Milwaukee Admirals (1)Bye
    14Chicago Wolves (4)Rockford IceHogs (5)0 : 2
    15Texas Stars (2)Bye
    16ByeGrand Rapids Griffins (3)

    1/8-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Cleveland Monsters (5)3 : 1
    2Rochester Americans (2)Syracuse Crunch (3)3 : 0
    3Hershey Bears (1)Lehigh Valley Phantoms (5)3 : 2
    4Charlotte Checkers (2)Providence Bruins (3)3 : 2
    5Colorado Eagles (1)San Jose Barracuda (6)3 : 1
    6Abbotsford Canucks (2)Coachella Valley Firebirds (4)3 : 1
    7Milwaukee Admirals (1)Rockford IceHogs (5)3 : 2
    8Texas Stars (2)Grand Rapids Griffins (3)3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Rochester Americans (2)3 : 2
    2Hershey Bears (1)Charlotte Checkers (2)0 : 3
    3Colorado Eagles (1)Abbotsford Canucks (2)2 : 3
    4Milwaukee Admirals (1)Texas Stars (2)2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Charlotte Checkers (2)0 : 4
    2Abbotsford Canucks (2)Texas Stars (2)4 : 2

    Final
    1Charlotte Checkers (2)Abbotsford Canucks (2)2 : 4