Syracuse Crunch vs Rochester Americans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
01/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2721
Shooting PCT
11.11% (3/27)4.76% (1/21)
Goalkeeper Saves
2024
Saves PCT
95.24% (20/21)88.89% (24/27)
Penalties
106
PIM
2812
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
10
Power-play PCT
16.67% (1/6)10% (1/10)
Pen. Killing PCT
90% (9/10)83.33% (5/6)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 11:37, 1 - 0, Geekie C. (G), Pelletier J. (A), Chaffee M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 04:22, 2 - 0, Furry B. (G), Gauthier E. (A), Pietroniro M. (A2)
  • 18:37, 3 - 0, Pelletier J. (G), Chaffee M. (A),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 17:00, 3 - 1, Fiddler-Schultz R. (G), Helenius K. (A),

Chances of winning


Syracuse Crunch
49.6%
Draw
21.9%
Rochester Americans
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 22.6% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 22.4% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Syracuse Crunch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Syracuse Crunch's performance.
  • Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rochester Americans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Syracuse Crunch than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Syracuse Crunch that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rochester Americans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.26)
    4.23
    (4.12)
    3.24
    (2.56)
    7.6%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Syracuse will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Syracuse won 2.
    • Syracuse is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rochester is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Rochester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Rochester has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Syracuse will win today's game, with odds of 2.17.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Syracuse won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 51:59. (average 2.6:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Syracuse won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 2.7:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans were as follows:
    19.01.2026 Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans 3:2
    14.01.2026 Rochester Americans - Syracuse Crunch 3:0
    07.01.2026 Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans 2:3
    28.11.2025 Rochester Americans - Syracuse Crunch 4:3
    05.11.2025 Rochester Americans - Syracuse Crunch 3:5
    Latest results of Rochester Americans
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins543111111177:11485
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears56206822160:17260
    5Bridgeport Islanders56194825165:17454
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms55168625162:18354
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves522171113166:16067
    3Manitoba Moose50214619131:14356
    4Texas Stars53188423155:16556
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs55155431148:18844
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign55289216188:15076
    2Colorado Eagles54267813178:13574
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors562181017190:17868
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds53199520176:16761
    6San Diego Gulls541951218158:15760
    7Henderson Silver Knights522131018173:16658
    8Tucson Roadrunners541312821171:18058
    9Calgary Wranglers551091422149:20052
    10Abbotsford Canucks56128630128:19146


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch55313417180:13572
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies55207919176:17963
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets55173926143:17549

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )