Toronto Marlies vs Rochester Americans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Coca-Cola Coliseum (Toronto, ON).

AHL
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey

Match Stats


Shots on Goal
28	35
Shooting PCT
21.43% (6/28)	11.43% (4/35)
Goalkeeper Saves
31	22
Saves PCT
88.57% (31/35)	78.57% (22/28)
Penalties
5	1
PIM
10	2
Power-play Goals
0	1
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
0% (0/1)	20% (1/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
80% (4/5)	100% (1/1)
Empty Net Goals
0	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (1 - 2)
09:15, 0 - 1, Novikov N. (G), Laaouan N. (A), Joshua J. (A2)
12:34, 1 - 1, Groulx B. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Smith B. (A2)
13:20, 1 - 2, Rosen I. (G), Wahlberg A. (A),
2nd Period (4 - 1)
01:29, 2 - 2, Villeneuve W. (G), Boyd T. (A), Barbolini M. (A2)
08:21, 2 - 3, Fiddler-Schultz R. (G), Meyer C. (A),
10:33, 3 - 3, Nylander A. (G), Valis B. (A),
13:25, 4 - 3, Nylander A. (G), Rifai M. (A), Thrun H. (A2)
17:48, 5 - 3, Valis B. (G), Groulx B. (A), Akhtyamov A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:05, 5 - 4, Kuntar T. (G), Fiddler-Schultz R. (A), Jones Z. (A2)
03:52, 6 - 4, Johnstone M. (G), Pare C. (A), Thrun H. (A2)

Chances of winning

Toronto Marlies
32.2%

Draw
22.3%

Rochester Americans
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

22.5%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

22.6%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Rochester Americans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (2.87)	4.09 ↓ (4.13)	2.04 ↓ (2.06)	8.8% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

What is the prediction for Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
Toronto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Rochester has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rochester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Rochester has had a series of home games.
Rochester could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 2.85.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 64:61. (average 3.2:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 3.6:2.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Marlies won against Rochester Americans?

Toronto Marlies has won 12 of their last 25 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rochester Americans won against Toronto Marlies?

Rochester Americans has won 13 of their last 25 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans were as follows:

11.10.2025 Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans 4:1

10.10.2025 Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies 4:3

19.04.2025 Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans 3:2

18.04.2025 Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies 0:3

22.02.2025 Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies 1:0

Latest results of Toronto Marlies

01.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Syracuse Crunch 2:1 ✺

30.12.2025 Cleveland Monsters - Toronto Marlies 1:2 ✺

27.12.2025 Utica Comets - Toronto Marlies 3:4 ✺

26.12.2025 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 3:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 8:4 ✺

Latest results of Rochester Americans

29.12.2025 Cleveland Monsters - Rochester Americans 3:4 ✺

27.12.2025 Rochester Americans - Cleveland Monsters 3:4 ✺

19.12.2025 Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators 3:2 ✺

17.12.2025 Rochester Americans - Utica Comets 2:3 ✺

13.12.2025 Rochester Americans - Lehigh Valley Phantoms 1:2 ✺

AHL Table

2025/26

Atlantic Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Providence Bruins	55	32	11	1	11	182:118	87
2	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton	57	31	5	7	14	189:150	79
3	Charlotte Checkers	56	26	7	5	18	188:157	71
4	Hershey Bears	57	20	6	8	23	164:177	60
5	Bridgeport Islanders	57	20	4	8	25	170:178	56
6	Lehigh Valley Phantoms	56	16	8	6	26	166:188	54
7	Springfield Thunderbirds	56	19	3	7	27	151:196	51
8	Hartford Wolf Pack	55	18	4	6	27	149:185	50

Central Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Grand Rapids Griffins	56	36	7	4	9	196:111	90
2	Chicago Wolves	53	21	7	12	13	172:167	68
3	Manitoba Moose	51	22	4	6	19	132:143	58
4	Texas Stars	54	18	9	4	23	162:171	58
5	Milwaukee Admirals	54	14	8	7	25	152:165	51
6	Rockford IceHogs	56	15	5	4	32	152:194	44
7	Iowa Wild	54	13	6	5	30	126:170	43

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Ontario Reign	56	29	9	2	16	190:151	78
2	Colorado Eagles	55	26	7	8	14	178:139	74
3	San Jose Barracuda	54	25	9	4	16	188:164	72
4	Bakersfield Condors	57	22	8	10	17	192:178	70
5	Coachella Valley Firebirds	55	21	9	5	20	184:170	65
6	San Diego Gulls	55	20	5	12	18	164:161	62
7	Henderson Silver Knights	53	21	3	10	19	174:168	58
8	Tucson Roadrunners	55	13	12	8	22	171:182	58
9	Calgary Wranglers	57	10	9	14	24	152:208	52
10	Abbotsford Canucks	57	13	8	6	30	132:191	48

North Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Laval Rocket	59	26	10	5	18	192:157	77
2	Syracuse Crunch	56	32	3	4	17	184:136	74
3	Cleveland Monsters	56	17	13	7	19	164:167	67
4	Toronto Marlies	56	20	7	9	20	176:180	63
5	Rochester Americans	54	19	5	9	21	166:168	57
6	Belleville Senators	58	16	6	8	28	181:214	52
7	Utica Comets	56	17	3	9	27	144:179	49

Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )