Toronto Marlies vs Rochester Americans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:4
03/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2835
Shooting PCT
21.43% (6/28)11.43% (4/35)
Goalkeeper Saves
3122
Saves PCT
88.57% (31/35)78.57% (22/28)
Penalties
51
PIM
102
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/1)20% (1/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
80% (4/5)100% (1/1)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 09:15, 0 - 1, Novikov N. (G), Laaouan N. (A), Joshua J. (A2)
  • 12:34, 1 - 1, Groulx B. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Smith B. (A2)
  • 13:20, 1 - 2, Rosen I. (G), Wahlberg A. (A),
  • 2nd Period (4 - 1)
  • 01:29, 2 - 2, Villeneuve W. (G), Boyd T. (A), Barbolini M. (A2)
  • 08:21, 2 - 3, Fiddler-Schultz R. (G), Meyer C. (A),
  • 10:33, 3 - 3, Nylander A. (G), Valis B. (A),
  • 13:25, 4 - 3, Nylander A. (G), Rifai M. (A), Thrun H. (A2)
  • 17:48, 5 - 3, Valis B. (G), Groulx B. (A), Akhtyamov A. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:05, 5 - 4, Kuntar T. (G), Fiddler-Schultz R. (A), Jones Z. (A2)
  • 03:52, 6 - 4, Johnstone M. (G), Pare C. (A), Thrun H. (A2)

Chances of winning


Toronto Marlies
32.2%
Draw
22.3%
Rochester Americans
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 22.5% 45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3% 22.6% 45.2%

Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.84
(2.87)
4.09
(4.13)
2.04
(2.06)
8.8%
(7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
  • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
  • Toronto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Rochester has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Rochester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Recently, Rochester has had a series of home games.
  • Rochester could have a small edge in this match.
  • We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 2.85.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 64:61. (average 3.2:3.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 3.6:2.8).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans were as follows:
11.10.2025 Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans 4:1
10.10.2025 Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies 4:3
19.04.2025 Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans 3:2
18.04.2025 Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies 0:3
22.02.2025 Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies 1:0
Latest results of Toronto Marlies
AHL Table
2025/26

Atlantic Division
PlWWOLOLPts
1Wilkes-Barre/Scranton41233411131:10456
2Providence Bruins3622518121:7555
3Charlotte Checkers37184312121:10347
4Lehigh Valley Phantoms38127415104:10942
5Hershey Bears37144514105:10941
6Bridgeport Islanders37143317115:11737
7Hartford Wolf Pack38123518104:12735
8Springfield Thunderbirds38121619100:13932


Central Division
PlWWOLOLPts
1Grand Rapids Griffins3726533134:6665
2Chicago Wolves3715499115:10947
3Manitoba Moose3616331496:10541
4Texas Stars40125419109:12738
5Rockford IceHogs40115420116:13236
6Milwaukee Admirals36106317104:10735
7Iowa Wild397342584:12924


Pacific Division
PlWWOLOLPts
1Colorado Eagles3719549123:8852
2Ontario Reign39187212130:10952
3Bakersfield Condors38175610135:11750
4Coachella Valley Firebirds38157412134:12248
5San Jose Barracuda37138313116:11945
6San Diego Gulls38135812111:10544
7Tucson Roadrunners37107713120:11941
8Calgary Wranglers40961015105:13540
9Henderson Silver Knights35142514110:10637
10Abbotsford Canucks417662287:14032


North Division
PlWWOLOLPts
1Laval Rocket40194413123:10550
2Syracuse Crunch39202314126:10047
3Toronto Marlies39156315123:13145
4Rochester Americans38145613125:12044
5Belleville Senators42126618139:15342
6Cleveland Monsters3710761497:10840
7Utica Comets369271887:11529

      Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )