Result
5:2
27/03/2026 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Flohockey |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 36 | 29 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.89% (5/36) | 6.9% (2/29) |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 93.1% (27/29) | 86.11% (31/36) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 20% (1/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 75% (3/4) |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 01:33, 1 - 0, Meyer C. (G), Nadeau O. (A), Leschyshyn J. (A2)
- 05:51, 2 - 0, Costantini M. (G), Jones Z. (A), Helenius K. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 08:01, 3 - 0, Wahlberg A. (G), Helenius K. (A), Bayreuther G. (A2)
- 13:34, 3 - 1, Sim L. (G), Buhr B. (A), Smith B. (A2)
- 16:20, 3 - 2, Valis B. (G), Thrun H. (A), Borgesi V. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 02:32, 4 - 2, Kuntar T. (G), Bayreuther G. (A), Meyer C. (A2)
- 18:58, 5 - 2, Fiddler-Schultz R. (G),
Chances of winning
Rochester Americans
39.2% | Draw
22.7% | Toronto Marlies
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rochester Americans's form might have worsened.Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toronto Marlies's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rochester Americans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Marlies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.04) |
4.08 ↑
(3.98) |
2.44 ↓
(2.87) |
7.7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 2.
- Rochester has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Toronto is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 59:63. (average 3:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rochester won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 3.1:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Rochester Americans won against Toronto Marlies?
Rochester Americans has won 14 of their last 28 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Marlies won against Rochester Americans?
Toronto Marlies has won 14 of their last 28 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies were as follows:
14.03.2026
Toronto Marlies
-
Rochester Americans
3:0
13.03.2026
Rochester Americans
-
Toronto Marlies
4:3
03.01.2026
Toronto Marlies
-
Rochester Americans
6:4
11.10.2025
Toronto Marlies
-
Rochester Americans
4:1
10.10.2025
Rochester Americans
-
Toronto Marlies
4:3
Latest results of Rochester Americans
Latest results of Toronto Marlies
AHL Table
2025/26Atlantic Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Providence Bruins ✔ | 63 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 215:140 | 99 |
| 2 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ | 64 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 207:169 | 88 |
| 3 | Charlotte Checkers | 64 | 30 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 212:174 | 81 |
| 4 | Hershey Bears | 64 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 185:207 | 65 |
| 5 | Bridgeport Islanders | 64 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 190:199 | 64 |
| 6 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 64 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 191:216 | 62 |
| 7 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 63 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 175:217 | 60 |
| 8 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 63 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 169:216 | 55 |
Central Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ | 64 | 38 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 217:137 | 97 |
| 2 | Chicago Wolves | 62 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 193:198 | 73 |
| 3 | Texas Stars | 63 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 27 | 193:204 | 68 |
| 4 | Manitoba Moose | 62 | 26 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 152:178 | 66 |
| 5 | Milwaukee Admirals | 62 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 27 | 178:183 | 63 |
| 6 | Rockford IceHogs | 63 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 174:209 | 55 |
| 7 | Iowa Wild | 61 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 149:191 | 52 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ontario Reign | 65 | 32 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 211:177 | 87 |
| 2 | Colorado Eagles | 63 | 29 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 210:166 | 84 |
| 3 | San Jose Barracuda | 62 | 29 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 217:187 | 80 |
| 4 | Bakersfield Condors | 63 | 26 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 213:198 | 78 |
| 5 | Henderson Silver Knights | 64 | 29 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 230:201 | 77 |
| 6 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 62 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 21 | 210:189 | 77 |
| 7 | San Diego Gulls | 63 | 23 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 191:195 | 70 |
| 8 | Tucson Roadrunners | 63 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 24 | 202:211 | 69 |
| 9 | Calgary Wranglers | 65 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 178:245 | 54 |
| 10 | Abbotsford Canucks | 65 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 36 | 151:220 | 52 |
North Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Laval Rocket ✔ | 66 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 211:175 | 85 |
| 2 | Syracuse Crunch ✔ | 64 | 36 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 214:164 | 83 |
| 3 | Toronto Marlies | 64 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 206:200 | 74 |
| 4 | Cleveland Monsters | 64 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 24 | 189:198 | 73 |
| 5 | Rochester Americans | 61 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 188:193 | 63 |
| 6 | Belleville Senators | 65 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 203:234 | 59 |
| 7 | Utica Comets | 63 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 168:201 | 57 |
Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
