Result
6:4
03/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Usa | Flohockey |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 28 | 35 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 21.43% (6/28) | 11.43% (4/35) |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.57% (31/35) | 78.57% (22/28) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 20% (1/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 100% (1/1) |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 09:15, 0 - 1, Novikov N. (G), Laaouan N. (A), Joshua J. (A2)
- 12:34, 1 - 1, Groulx B. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Smith B. (A2)
- 13:20, 1 - 2, Rosen I. (G), Wahlberg A. (A),
- 2nd Period (4 - 1)
- 01:29, 2 - 2, Villeneuve W. (G), Boyd T. (A), Barbolini M. (A2)
- 08:21, 2 - 3, Fiddler-Schultz R. (G), Meyer C. (A),
- 10:33, 3 - 3, Nylander A. (G), Valis B. (A),
- 13:25, 4 - 3, Nylander A. (G), Rifai M. (A), Thrun H. (A2)
- 17:48, 5 - 3, Valis B. (G), Groulx B. (A), Akhtyamov A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 01:05, 5 - 4, Kuntar T. (G), Fiddler-Schultz R. (A), Jones Z. (A2)
- 03:52, 6 - 4, Johnstone M. (G), Pare C. (A), Thrun H. (A2)
Chances of winning
Toronto Marlies 32.2% | Draw 22.3% | Rochester Americans 45.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.84 ↓ (2.87) |
4.09 ↓ (4.13) |
2.04 ↓ (2.06) |
8.8% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
- Toronto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Rochester has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rochester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Rochester has had a series of home games.
- Rochester could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 2.85.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 64:61. (average 3.2:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 3.6:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Marlies won against Rochester Americans?
Toronto Marlies has won 12 of their last 25 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rochester Americans won against Toronto Marlies?
Rochester Americans has won 13 of their last 25 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans were as follows:
11.10.2025
Toronto Marlies
-
Rochester Americans
4:1
10.10.2025
Rochester Americans
-
Toronto Marlies
4:3
19.04.2025
Toronto Marlies
-
Rochester Americans
3:2
18.04.2025
Rochester Americans
-
Toronto Marlies
0:3
22.02.2025
Rochester Americans
-
Toronto Marlies
1:0
Latest results of Toronto Marlies
Latest results of Rochester Americans
AHL Table
2025/26Atlantic Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 41 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 131:104 | 56 |
| 2 | Providence Bruins | 36 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 121:75 | 55 |
| 3 | Charlotte Checkers | 37 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 121:103 | 47 |
| 4 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 38 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 104:109 | 42 |
| 5 | Hershey Bears | 37 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 105:109 | 41 |
| 6 | Bridgeport Islanders | 37 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 115:117 | 37 |
| 7 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 38 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 104:127 | 35 |
| 8 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 38 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 100:139 | 32 |
Central Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 37 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 134:66 | 65 |
| 2 | Chicago Wolves | 37 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 115:109 | 47 |
| 3 | Manitoba Moose | 36 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 96:105 | 41 |
| 4 | Texas Stars | 40 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 109:127 | 38 |
| 5 | Rockford IceHogs | 40 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 116:132 | 36 |
| 6 | Milwaukee Admirals | 36 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 104:107 | 35 |
| 7 | Iowa Wild | 39 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 84:129 | 24 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Eagles | 37 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 123:88 | 52 |
| 2 | Ontario Reign | 39 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 130:109 | 52 |
| 3 | Bakersfield Condors | 38 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 135:117 | 50 |
| 4 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 38 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 134:122 | 48 |
| 5 | San Jose Barracuda | 37 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 116:119 | 45 |
| 6 | San Diego Gulls | 38 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 111:105 | 44 |
| 7 | Tucson Roadrunners | 37 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 120:119 | 41 |
| 8 | Calgary Wranglers | 40 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 105:135 | 40 |
| 9 | Henderson Silver Knights | 35 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 110:106 | 37 |
| 10 | Abbotsford Canucks | 41 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 87:140 | 32 |
North Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Laval Rocket | 40 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 123:105 | 50 |
| 2 | Syracuse Crunch | 39 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 126:100 | 47 |
| 3 | Toronto Marlies | 39 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 123:131 | 45 |
| 4 | Rochester Americans | 38 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 125:120 | 44 |
| 5 | Belleville Senators | 42 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 139:153 | 42 |
| 6 | Cleveland Monsters | 37 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 97:108 | 40 |
| 7 | Utica Comets | 36 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 87:115 | 29 |
Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )