Jong Ajax vs Roda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
2:2
19/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 23
  • Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.421.72
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
516
Shots on target
37
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
35
Passes
87% (425/489)85% (367/433)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.421.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.671.82
Total shots
516
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
26
Blocked shots
03
Shots inside the box
411
Shots outside the box
15
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1633
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
06
Free kicks
919
Passes
87% (425/489)85% (367/433)
Long passes
49% (25/51)54% (29/54)
Passes in final third
67% (48/72)75% (98/131)
Crosses
44% (4/9)13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.62
Throw ins
139
Fouls
199
Tackles
38% (6/16)45% (9/20)
Duels won
3851
Clearances
3015
Interceptions
29
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
51
xGOT faced
1.821.67
Goals prevented
-0.18-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Cooper-Love J. ⚽, Griffith I. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Peters T. ⚽, van der Lans M. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 2, van den Hurk A. ⚽, Griffith I. (A),
  • 40', Butera E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Butera E. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
  • 55', 2 - 2, Chourak N. ⚽, Johnson J. (A),
  • 66', van den Hurk A. ↓, Deom J. ↑,
  • 73', Muzungu M. ↓, van de Pavert R. ↑,
  • 73', Takidine I. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
  • 74', Nash P. ↓, Ibrahimovic M. ↑,
  • 74', van der Lans M. ↓, Abdella M. ↑,
  • 81', Ibrahimovic M. 🟨,
  • 86', Chourak N. ↓, Wolff K. ↑,
  • 86', Nisbet J. 🟨,
  • 90', Jansen K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong Ajax
26.9%		Draw
24.7%		Roda
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.3% 24.6% 49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6% 24% 50.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
    •

    Jong Ajax - Roda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.44 ↓
    (3.49)    		 3.75 ↑
    (3.73)    		 1.92 ↑
    (1.86)    		 7.7%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Roda?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Roda will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jong Ajax: 28.1% – 78.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Ajax (votes: 2 - 40%). Roda (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Jong Ajax (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Ajax (votes: 3 - 50%). Roda (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Roda could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Roda: Kother T. (Knee Injury) Paulissen M. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 2.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Roda were as follows:
    12.09.2025 Roda - Jong Ajax 3:3
    23.12.2024 Jong Ajax - Roda 3:1
    25.10.2024 Roda - Jong Ajax 2:1
    26.04.2024 Jong Ajax - Roda 1:1
    27.10.2023 Roda - Jong Ajax 2:1
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    12.01.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax 1:2 ✺
    22.12.2025 Jong Ajax - Waalwijk 0:2 ✺
    12.12.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Almere City - Jong Ajax 3:2 ✺
    01.12.2025 Jong Ajax - Vitesse 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Roda
    14.01.2026 Schalke U23 - Roda 7:3
    22.12.2025 Jong Utrecht - Roda 1:3 ✺
    17.12.2025 Roda - Go Ahead Eagles 1:2 ✺
    12.12.2025 De Graafschap - Roda 2:3 ✺
    05.12.2025 Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:3 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 35272682:344883
    2Cambuur ✔ 36229572:442875
    3De Graafschap351781068:531559
    4Willem II351781052:401259
    5Almere City351741472:571555
    6Waalwijk3615101166:531355
    7Roda3614121057:50754
    8Jong PSV351651463:59453
    9Den Bosch351481361:61050
    10Dordrecht3511111345:50-544
    11Eindhoven FC361351850:66-1644
    12Venlo351251844:52-841
    13FC Emmen361181755:70-1541
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht369101741:71-3037
    18Helmond36991840:61-2136
    19Oss358111646:61-1535
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
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