Waalwijk vs Roda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Mandemakers Stadion (Waalwijk).

Eerste Divisie - Round 27
Referee: Vos M. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.71	2.89
Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
13	16
Shots on target
4	4
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
4	8
Passes
83% (344/416)	83% (377/455)
Expected goals (xG)
0.71	2.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.87	2.13
Total shots
13	16
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked shots
3	6
Shots inside the box
10	12
Shots outside the box
3	4
Hit the woodwork
0	2
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
4	8
Touches in opposition box
30	39
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	4
Free kicks
7	9
Passes
83% (344/416)	83% (377/455)
Long passes
47% (20/43)	60% (34/57)
Passes in final third
67% (63/94)	77% (108/140)
Crosses
34% (10/29)	30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.15	1.76
Throw ins
14	10
Fouls
9	7
Tackles
67% (14/21)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
47	36
Clearances
30	30
Interceptions
16	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
2.13	0.87
Goals prevented
0.13	-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, van den Hurk A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', van der Veen Y. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
46', van Hedel R. ↓, van Eijma R. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Uneken J. ⚽, Cleonise D. (A),
61', van den Hurk A. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
73', Griffith I. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
73', Uneken J. ↓, Fage R. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Paulissen M. ⚽, Breij M. (A),
84', van Kaam D. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
84', Kuster H. ↓, Held N. ↑,
88', Jansen K. ↓, Timmermans J. ↑,
88', Breij M. ↓, El Meliani R. ↑,

Chances of winning

Waalwijk
41.4%

Draw
25.6%

Roda
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

25.5%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

24.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Waalwijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Waalwijk - Roda Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.02)	3.68 ↑ (3.6)	2.82 ↓ (3.14)	6.9% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Roda?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Roda will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Roda (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Roda (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Roda (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R. (Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury) van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Roda: Kother T. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Roda?

Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Waalwijk?

Roda has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Roda were as follows:

19.09.2025 Roda - Waalwijk 1:4

Latest results of Waalwijk

08.02.2026 Willem II - Waalwijk 2:1 ✺

30.01.2026 Waalwijk - FC Oss 2:0 ✺

26.01.2026 Waalwijk - Jong Utrecht 2:2 ✺

23.01.2026 De Graafschap - Waalwijk 2:4 ✺

18.01.2026 Waalwijk - Dordrecht 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Roda

06.02.2026 Roda - ADO Den Haag 0:3 ✺

30.01.2026 Almere City - Roda 1:2 ✺

26.01.2026 Roda - VVV-Venlo 2:2 ✺

23.01.2026 Roda - FC Oss 1:2 ✺

19.01.2026 Jong Ajax - Roda 2:2 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	35	27	2	6	82:34	48	83
2	Cambuur ✔	35	22	8	5	71:43	28	74
3	De Graafschap	35	17	8	10	68:53	15	59
4	Willem II	35	17	8	10	52:40	12	59
5	Almere City	35	17	4	14	72:57	15	55
6	Jong PSV	35	16	5	14	63:59	4	53
7	Waalwijk	35	14	10	11	61:53	8	52
8	Roda	35	13	12	10	54:49	5	51
9	Den Bosch	34	14	7	13	60:60	0	49
10	Dordrecht	35	11	11	13	45:50	-5	44
11	Eindhoven FC	35	13	5	17	49:63	-14	44
12	Venlo	35	12	5	18	44:52	-8	41
13	FC Emmen	35	11	8	16	55:65	-10	41
14	Vitesse	35	14	10	11	60:53	7	40
15	Jong Utrecht	34	10	9	15	52:58	-6	39
16	Jong AZ	35	11	4	20	59:71	-12	37
17	Maastricht	35	9	9	17	41:71	-30	36
18	Oss	35	8	11	16	46:61	-15	35
19	Helmond	35	9	8	18	40:61	-21	35
20	Jong Ajax	35	8	8	19	48:69	-21	32

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie