Roda vs Waalwijk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
19/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 7
  • Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.47
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
86% (460/536)79% (262/332)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.943.56
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1922
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
612
Passes
86% (460/536)79% (262/332)
Long passes
57% (17/30)43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
75% (120/160)71% (65/91)
Crosses
29% (6/21)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.87
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
126
Tackles
50% (9/18)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4854
Clearances
1525
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
3.561.94
Goals prevented
-0.440.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 24', Lajud Martinez D. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, van Hedel R. , Cleonise D. (A),
  • 43', 0 - 2, Cleonise D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Lajud Martinez D. , Seedorf C. ,
  • 54', 0 - 3, van der Venne R. ,
  • 61', van den Hurk A. , Cooper-Love J. ,
  • 61', Breij M. , Schwirten J. ,
  • 61', Paulissen M. , Maiorano L. ,
  • 67', 0 - 4, Uneken J. , Altena J. (A),
  • 68', Cleonise D. , Kuijpers R. ,
  • 68', Wouters L. , Held N. ,
  • 70', Nisbet J. , Beerten L. ,
  • 73', 1 - 4, Cooper-Love J. , Kruiver J. (A),
  • 84', van Hedel R. , Witteveen M. ,
  • 85', Uneken J. , Kramer M. ,
  • 87', van Gelderen L. , Postma L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Roda
48%
Draw
24.9%
Waalwijk
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 22.3% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 21.9% 25.6%

Roda - Waalwijk Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.96
(1.8)
3.78
(4.15)
3.48
(3.55)
6.3%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Roda - Waalwijk?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Roda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Roda might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Waalwijk: Al Mazyani F. (Injury) Lokesa C. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Roda won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    Latest results of Roda
    15.09.2025 Jong PSV - Roda 0:1
    12.09.2025 Roda - Jong Ajax 3:3
    29.08.2025 Roda - FC Eindhoven 0:0
    24.08.2025 VVV-Venlo - Roda 3:1
    15.08.2025 Roda - De Graafschap 1:0
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    16.09.2025 Waalwijk - Vitesse 1:1
    12.09.2025 Jong Utrecht - Waalwijk 2:0
    30.08.2025 Waalwijk - Almere City 2:0
    22.08.2025 FC Eindhoven - Waalwijk 1:0
    15.08.2025 Waalwijk - Helmond Sport 1:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag24172559:293053
    2Cambuur23155350:262450
    3Jong PSV24124851:46540
    4Almere City251231053:411239
    5Roda25109643:37639
    6De Graafschap25116845:40539
    7Waalwijk25107842:38437
    8Willem II24106832:33-136
    9Dordrecht2597935:35034
    10Den Bosch251041145:46-134
    11Jong Utrecht2588944:46-232
    12Venlo251021334:39-532
    13Eindhoven FC24941135:44-931
    14FC Emmen23851040:44-429
    15Maastricht25761230:49-1927
    16Oss24681032:40-826
    17Jong AZ25821543:51-826
    18Helmond25751331:45-1426
    19Vitesse2588937:39-220
    20Jong Ajax24471333:46-1319

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )