Result
1:2
13/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 27
- Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (344/416) | 83% (377/455) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (344/416) | 83% (377/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (20/43) | 60% (34/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (63/94) | 77% (108/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (10/29) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, van den Hurk A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', van der Veen Y. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
- 46', van Hedel R. ↓, van Eijma R. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Uneken J. ⚽, Cleonise D. (A),
- 61', van den Hurk A. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
- 73', Griffith I. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
- 73', Uneken J. ↓, Fage R. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Paulissen M. ⚽, Breij M. (A),
- 84', van Kaam D. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
- 84', Kuster H. ↓, Held N. ↑,
- 88', Jansen K. ↓, Timmermans J. ↑,
- 88', Breij M. ↓, El Meliani R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Waalwijk
41.4% | Draw
25.6% | Roda
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Waalwijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Waalwijk - Roda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2.02) |
3.68 ↑
(3.6) |
2.82 ↓
(3.14) |
6.9%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Roda?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Roda will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Roda (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Roda (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Roda (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R.
(Injury)
van Osch Y.
(Injury)
van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Roda: Kother T.
(Knee Injury)
Schwirten J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Roda?
Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Waalwijk?
Roda has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Roda were as follows:
19.09.2025
Roda
-
Waalwijk
1:4
Latest results of Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
