Result
1:4
19/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 7
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (460/536) | 79% (262/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 3.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (460/536) | 79% (262/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (17/30) | 43% (26/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (120/160) | 71% (65/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.56 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.44 | 0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 24', Lajud Martinez D. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, van Hedel R. ⚽, Cleonise D. (A),
- 43', 0 - 2, Cleonise D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Lajud Martinez D. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 3, van der Venne R. ⚽,
- 61', van den Hurk A. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
- 61', Breij M. ↓, Schwirten J. ↑,
- 61', Paulissen M. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 4, Uneken J. ⚽, Altena J. (A),
- 68', Cleonise D. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
- 68', Wouters L. ↓, Held N. ↑,
- 70', Nisbet J. ↓, Beerten L. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 4, Cooper-Love J. ⚽, Kruiver J. (A),
- 84', van Hedel R. ↓, Witteveen M. ↑,
- 85', Uneken J. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
- 87', van Gelderen L. ↓, Postma L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Roda
48% | Draw
24.9% | Waalwijk
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Roda - Waalwijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.8) |
3.78 ↓
(4.15) |
3.48 ↓
(3.55) |
6.3%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Roda - Waalwijk?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Roda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Roda might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Al Mazyani F.
(Injury)
Lokesa C.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Roda won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Waalwijk?
Roda has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Roda?
Waalwijk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roda - Waalwijk were as follows:
Latest results of Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30:7 | 23 | 28 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Roda | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Willem II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 | Den Bosch | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Helmond | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Venlo | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Waalwijk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | De Graafschap | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Emmen | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Oss | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Almere City | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Eindhoven FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
| 18 | Jong AZ | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
