Result
3:3
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 33
- Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.30 | 1.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (568/628) | 75% (221/296) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.30 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.51 | 2.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (568/628) | 75% (221/296) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (35/51) | 34% (19/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (103/133) | 60% (57/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 89% (17/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.28 | 3.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Lo A. 🟨,
- 34', Nkada T. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 3)
- 46', Bouchouari M. 🟨,
- 56', Bouchouari M. ↓, Galves N. ↑,
- 56', Gueye I. ↓, Sabaly C. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Nkada T. ⚽, Younoussa W. (A),
- 69', 1 - 1, Hein G. (Pen),
- 72', Younoussa W. ↓, Bentayeb T. ↑,
- 72', Trouillet A. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 2, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Abdallah A. (A),
- 76', Diallo P. A. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
- 76', Sane I. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
- 77', Bentayeb T. 🟨,
- 79', Nkada T. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
- 79', Laurent L. ↓, Mambo S. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 3, Balde I. ⚽, Taibi W. (A),
- 82', Abdallah A. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 3, Sabaly C. (Pen),
- 87', 3 - 3, Jallow A. ⚽, Bokele Mputu M. (A),
Chances of winning
Metz
56.3% | Draw
24.1% | Rodez
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Metz - Rodez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.79) |
3.92 ↑
(3.68) |
4.82 ↑
(4.07) |
4.8%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Metz - Rodez?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Metz will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Metz is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Metz: Asoro J.
(Injury)
Sane S.
(Injury)
Sy P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rodez: Chougrani J.
(Injury)
Cibois S.
(Injury)
Laurent L.
(Inactive)
Ngouyamsa Nounchil A. T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Rodez: Abdallah A.
(Injury)
Vandenabeele E.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Metz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Rodez?
Metz has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Metz?
Rodez has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Rodez were as follows:
23.08.2024
Rodez
-
Metz
1:3
31.01.2023
Metz
-
Rodez
1:1
30.08.2022
Rodez
-
Metz
1:4
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Troyes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Montpellier | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Reims | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
