Result
3:3
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 33
- Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
4.30 | 1.65 |
Ball Possession |
---|
67% | 33% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
90% (568/628) | 75% (221/296) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
4.30 | 1.65 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.51 | 2.28 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
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2 | 3 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
90% (568/628) | 75% (221/296) |
Long passes |
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69% (35/51) | 34% (19/56) |
Passes in final third |
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77% (103/133) | 60% (57/95) |
Crosses |
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26% (6/23) | 25% (5/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.50 | 0.83 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 9 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 18 |
Tackles |
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67% (8/12) | 89% (17/19) |
Duels won |
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44 | 32 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 14 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.28 | 3.51 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.72 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Lo A. 🟨,
- 34', Nkada T. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 3)
- 46', Bouchouari M. 🟨,
- 56', Bouchouari M. ↓, Galves N. ↑,
- 56', Gueye I. ↓, Sabaly C. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Nkada T. ⚽, Younoussa W. (A),
- 69', 1 - 1, Hein G. (Pen),
- 72', Younoussa W. ↓, Bentayeb T. ↑,
- 72', Trouillet A. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 2, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Abdallah A. (A),
- 76', Diallo P. A. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
- 76', Sane I. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
- 77', Bentayeb T. 🟨,
- 79', Nkada T. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
- 79', Laurent L. ↓, Mambo S. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 3, Balde I. ⚽, Taibi W. (A),
- 82', Abdallah A. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 3, Sabaly C. (Pen),
- 87', 3 - 3, Jallow A. ⚽, Bokele Mputu M. (A),
Chances of winning
Metz 56.3% | Draw 24.1% | Rodez 19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Metz - Rodez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (1.79) |
3.92 ↑ (3.68) |
4.82 ↑ (4.07) |
4.8% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Metz - Rodez?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Metz will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Metz is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Metz: Asoro J.
(Injury)
Sane S.
(Injury)
Sy P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rodez: Chougrani J.
(Injury)
Cibois S.
(Injury)
Laurent L.
(Inactive)
Ngouyamsa Nounchil A. T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Rodez: Abdallah A.
(Injury)
Vandenabeele E.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Metz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Rodez?
Metz has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Metz?
Rodez has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Rodez were as follows:
23.08.2024
Rodez
-
Metz
1:3
31.01.2023
Metz
-
Rodez
1:1
30.08.2022
Rodez
-
Metz
1:4
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National