Metz vs Rodez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Metz - Rodez
Result
3:3
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 33
  • Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.301.65
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
90% (568/628)75% (221/296)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
4.301.65
xG on target (xGOT)
3.512.28
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
1211
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
3122
Accurate through passes
23
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
187
Passes
90% (568/628)75% (221/296)
Long passes
69% (35/51)34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
77% (103/133)60% (57/95)
Crosses
26% (6/23)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.500.83
Throw-ins
159
Fouls
718
Tackles
67% (8/12)89% (17/19)
Duels won
4432
Clearances
2014
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
2.283.51
Goals prevented
-0.720.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Lo A. 🟨,
  • 34', Nkada T. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 3)
  • 46', Bouchouari M. 🟨,
  • 56', Bouchouari M. , Galves N. ,
  • 56', Gueye I. , Sabaly C. ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Nkada T. , Younoussa W. (A),
  • 69', 1 - 1, Hein G. (Pen),
  • 72', Younoussa W. , Bentayeb T. ,
  • 72', Trouillet A. , Mazou-Sacko D. ,
  • 73', 1 - 2, Bentayeb T. , Abdallah A. (A),
  • 76', Diallo P. A. , Bokele Mputu M. ,
  • 76', Sane I. , Jallow A. ,
  • 77', Bentayeb T. 🟨,
  • 79', Nkada T. , Balde I. ,
  • 79', Laurent L. , Mambo S. ,
  • 80', 1 - 3, Balde I. , Taibi W. (A),
  • 82', Abdallah A. 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 3, Sabaly C. (Pen),
  • 87', 3 - 3, Jallow A. , Bokele Mputu M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Metz
56.3%
Draw
24.1%
Rodez
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 25.2% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 24.3% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Metz - Rodez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.79)
    3.92
    (3.68)
    4.82
    (4.07)
    4.8%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Metz - Rodez?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Metz will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.85%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Metz is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Metz: Asoro J. (Injury) Sane S. (Injury) Sy P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Rodez: Chougrani J. (Injury) Cibois S. (Injury) Laurent L. (Inactive) Ngouyamsa Nounchil A. T. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Rodez: Abdallah A. (Injury) Vandenabeele E. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Metz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Rodez were as follows:
    23.08.2024 Rodez - Metz 1:3
    31.01.2023 Metz - Rodez 1:1
    30.08.2022 Rodez - Metz 1:4
    Latest results of Metz
    26.04.2025 Pau - Metz 2:1
    19.04.2025 Metz - Red Star 2:2
    11.04.2025 Martigues - Metz 1:4
    05.04.2025 Caen - Metz 2:2
    28.03.2025 Metz - Troyes 2:1
    Latest results of Rodez
    26.04.2025 Rodez - Paris FC 1:1
    18.04.2025 Laval - Rodez 2:1
    11.04.2025 Rodez - Caen 2:2
    04.04.2025 Rodez - Martigues 1:0
    28.03.2025 Red Star - Rodez 1:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National