Roma vs Lecce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 30
  • Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilCaze TV, Disney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1, Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiaANTV, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Go, Ziggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
paraguayParaguayESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV7
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.831.08
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
23
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
102
Passes
82% (470/575)66% (185/281)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.831.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.320.23
Total shots
148
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
126
Shots outside the box
22
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
3314
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
50
Free kicks
1714
Passes
82% (470/575)66% (185/281)
Long passes
31% (15/48)31% (20/65)
Passes in final third
69% (108/156)43% (25/58)
Crosses
32% (7/22)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.67
Throw ins
3017
Fouls
1417
Tackles
50% (4/8)46% (13/28)
Duels won
5671
Clearances
1839
Interceptions
1115
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
0.230.32
Goals prevented
0.23-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mancini G. , Ghilardi D. ,
  • 51', El Aynaoui N. , Vaz R. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Vaz R. , Hermoso M. (A),
  • 61', Stulic N. , Cheddira W. ,
  • 61', Gandelman O. , Fofana S. ,
  • 67', Banda L. , Ndri K. ,
  • 75', Tsimikas K. , Angelino ,
  • 75', Malen D. , Arena A. ,
  • 77', Angelino 🟨,
  • 79', Pellegrini Lo. , Venturino L. ,
  • 81', Pierotti S. 🟨,
  • 85', Pierotti S. , Helgason T. J. ,
  • 85', Ramadani Y. , Sala A. ,
  • 89', Pisilli N. 🟨,
  • 90', Veiga D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Roma
64%
Draw
23.4%
Lecce
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69% 20.6% 10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9% 18.8% 11.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Roma - Lecce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.37)
    4.1
    (4.58)
    7.55
    (9.15)
    4.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Roma - Lecce?
  • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 42 - 80.8%). Lecce will win (votes: 5 - 9.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 70.1%91.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Roma (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Roma (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Roma (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Lecce (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Roma will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Roma (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Lecce (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 4.
    • Roma is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lecce has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Roma is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Dybala P. (Knee Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Kone M. (Muscle Injury) Soule M. (Groin Injury) Wesley Franca (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Camarda F. (Injury) Coulibaly L. (Injury) Gaspar K. (Injury) Sottil R. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Roma won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:9. (average 2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Lecce were as follows:
    06.01.2026 Lecce - Roma 0:2
    29.03.2025 Lecce - Roma 0:1
    07.12.2024 Roma - Lecce 4:1
    01.04.2024 Lecce - Roma 0:0
    05.11.2023 Roma - Lecce 2:1
    Latest results of Roma
    19.03.2026 Roma - Bologna 3:4
    15.03.2026 Como - Roma 2:1
    12.03.2026 Bologna - Roma 1:1
    08.03.2026 Genoa - Roma 2:1
    01.03.2026 Roma - Juventus 3:3
    Latest results of Lecce
    14.03.2026 Napoli - Lecce 2:1
    08.03.2026 Lecce - Cremonese 2:1
    28.02.2026 Como - Lecce 3:1
    21.02.2026 Lecce - Inter Milan 0:2
    16.02.2026 Cagliari - Lecce 0:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter31233571:264572
    2Napoli31205647:301765
    3AC Milan31189447:242363
    4Como311610553:223158
    5Juventus31169654:292557
    6AS Roma311731142:281454
    7Atalanta311411644:271753
    8Bologna311361240:37345
    9Lazio311111932:29344
    10Sassuolo311261338:41-342
    11Udinese311171335:42-740
    12Torino311061535:53-1836
    13Parma318111222:39-1735
    14Genoa31891436:44-833
    15Fiorentina317111336:44-832
    16Cagliari31791532:44-1230
    17Cremonese31691626:46-2027
    18Lecce31761821:43-2227
    19Verona31391922:53-3118
    20Pisa312121723:55-3218

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B