Lecce vs Roma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Lecce - Roma
Result
0:1
29/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 30
  • Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.63
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
78% (281/359)82% (368/447)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.331.22
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
116
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2238
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
116
Passes
78% (281/359)82% (368/447)
Long passes
31% (17/54)38% (20/52)
Passes in final third
74% (74/100)76% (102/134)
Crosses
35% (7/20)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.551.02
Fouls
611
Tackles
60% (12/20)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5141
Clearances Total
2326
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.220.33
Goals prevented
0.220.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Karlsson J. 🟨,
  • 58', Karlsson J. , Ndri K. ,
  • 58', Pierotti S. , Banda L. ,
  • 72', Helgason T. J. , Berisha M. ,
  • 72', Coulibaly L. , Kaba M. ,
  • 72', Pellegrini Lo. , Baldanzi T. ,
  • 72', Soule M. , Shomurodov E. ,
  • 75', Baldanzi T. 🟨,
  • 78', Saelemaekers A. 🟨,
  • 80', 0 - 1, Dovbyk A. , Cristante B. (A),
  • 84', Dovbyk A. , El Shaarawy S. ,
  • 84', Saelemaekers A. , Pisilli N. ,
  • 84', Ramadani Y. , Rebic A. ,
  • 90+6', Ranieri C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lecce
19.3%
Draw
27.2%
Roma
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.2% 27.2% 50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2% 27.3% 50.4%

Lecce - Roma Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.96
(4.31)
3.52
(3.52)
1.8
(1.9)
4.1%
(4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lecce - Roma?
  • Users Predictions: Roma will win (90 of 97 users predict this - 92.78%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.63%97.93%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lecce won 0.
    • Lecce has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Roma is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lecce could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Roma is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lecce: Gonzalez J. (Heart Problems) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Roma: Abdulhamid S. (Thigh Injury) Celik Z. (Thigh Injury) Dybala P. (Thigh Injury) Rensch D. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:19 (average 1:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Roma were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Roma - Lecce 4:1
    01.04.2024 Lecce - Roma 0:0
    05.11.2023 Roma - Lecce 2:1
    11.02.2023 Lecce - Roma 1:1
    09.10.2022 Roma - Lecce 2:1
    Latest results of Lecce
    14.03.2025 Genoa - Lecce 2:1
    08.03.2025 Lecce - Milan 2:3
    28.02.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0
    21.02.2025 Lecce - Udinese 0:1
    16.02.2025 Monza - Lecce 0:0
    Latest results of Roma
    13.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Roma 3:1
    09.03.2025 Empoli - Roma 0:1
    06.03.2025 Roma - Athletic Bilbao 2:1
    02.03.2025 Roma - Como 2:1
    24.02.2025 Roma - Monza 4:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli1071216:8822
    2AC Milan1164117:9822
    3Inter1070324:121221
    4AS Roma1070310:5521
    5Juventus1154214:10419
    6Bologna1053216:8818
    7Como1146112:6618
    8Lazio1043313:7615
    9Udinese1043312:15-315
    10Cremonese1135312:13-114
    11Torino1135310:16-614
    12Atalanta1027113:8513
    13Sassuolo1041511:12-113
    14Cagliari112459:14-510
    15Lecce112458:14-610
    16Pisa111648:14-69
    17Parma111557:14-78
    18Genoa101366:14-86
    19Verona110656:16-106
    20Fiorentina100467:16-94

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B