Result
2:1
27/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 5
- Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3 |
 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, Q Arena Asia, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 4 |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga |
 North-central-america | RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
 South-africa | SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 7 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7, TNT Sports Extra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (367/451) | 77% (288/374) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (367/451) | 77% (288/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (20/48) | 36% (17/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (102/142) | 58% (42/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 2.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, El Aynaoui N. ⚽, Celik Z. (A),
- 27', Kone M. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gogorza M. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
- 46', Bravo P. ↓, Junior Brumado ↑,
- 53', Cristante B. 🟨,
- 61', Castillo D. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
- 62', Soule M. ↓, Ferguson E. ↑,
- 62', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
- 67', Bak V. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 76', Franculino ↓, Simsir A. ↑,
- 78', Osorio D. 🟨,
- 79', Celik Z. ↓, Tsimikas K. ↑,
- 79', Dybala P. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
- 80', Erlic M. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 0, El Shaarawy S. ⚽, Bailey L. (A),
- 85', Bech Sorensen M. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 1, Paulinho ⚽, Simsir A. (A),
- 89', Mancini G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Roma
61.6% | Draw
22% | Midtjylland
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Roma - Midtjylland Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.45) |
4.39 ↓
(4.71) |
5.88 ↓
(6.43) |
4%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Roma - Midtjylland?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 59.8% – 88.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Midtjylland (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Midtjylland (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Roma will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Roma (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Midtjylland (votes: 2 - 15.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- In this match, Roma is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Roma: Baldanzi T.
(Inactive)
Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
Dovbyk A.
(Muscle Injury)
Hermoso M.
(Injury)
Vasquez Llach D. S.
(Inactive)
Zelezny R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Midtjylland: Chilufya E.
(Knee Injury)
Ejeheri O.
(Surgery)
Gabriel A.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Roma: Angelino
(Illness)
Bailey L.
(Muscle Injury)
Dybala P.
(Health problems)
- There are questionable in Midtjylland: Simsir A.
(Calf Injury)
- We predict that Roma will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Midtjylland?
Roma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against Roma?
Midtjylland has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Midtjylland were as follows:
Latest results of Midtjylland
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
