Result
1:2
12/10/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 2
- Referee: Migliorini A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Denmark | DAZN |
 Finland | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | DAZN |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (296/377) | 81% (304/376) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (296/377) | 81% (304/376) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (15/41) | 53% (28/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (41/66) | 59% (54/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 64% (9/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.72 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Mascarello M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Veje K. ↓, Thogersen F. ↑,
- 60', Cernoia V. ↓, van Dooren K. ↑,
- 61', Pandini M. ↓, Rieke A. ↑,
- 61', Dragoni G. ↓, Greggi G. ↑,
- 61', Pilgrim A. ↓, Galli G. ↑,
- 66', Soffia A. 🟨,
- 69', Mascarello M. ↓, Cesarini E. ↑,
- 69', Renzotti M. ↓, Kyvag T. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 0, De Sanders K. ⚽,
- 77', Viens E. ↓, Haavi E. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Corelli A. ⚽, Giugliano M. (A),
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Giugliano M. ⚽, Corelli A. (A),
- 90+3', Dompig C. ↓, Appiah K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milan
39.7% | Draw
33.8% | Roma
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milan's performance.Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-18.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+29.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Milan - Roma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↓
(4.21) |
4 ↑
(4) |
5.09 ↑
(1.69) |
-26%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Roma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Roma is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:38. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Roma?
Milan has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Milan?
Roma has won 10 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Roma were as follows:
06.09.2025
Roma
-
Milan
1:0
04.05.2025
Roma
-
Milan
3:3
22.03.2025
Milan
-
Roma
3:1
25.01.2025
Milan
-
Roma
3:2
20.10.2024
Roma
-
Milan
2:1
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Lazio W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Napoli W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Inter W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 5 |
| 5 | Fiorentina W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Juventus W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Sassuolo W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Parma W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | AC Milan W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Como W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Genoa W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Ternana W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
