Result
3:3
04/05/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Championship Group - Round 9
- Referee: Aldi C. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, RAI Sport+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | DAZN 1 UK |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (308/387) | 80% (336/420) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 3.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (308/387) | 80% (336/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/57) | 40% (18/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (67/114) | 60% (64/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.09 | 1.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -1.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Giacinti V. ⚽, Haavi E. (A),
- 28', 2 - 0, Giugliano M. (Pen),
- 32', Di Guglielmo L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Renzotti M. ↓, Dompig C. ↑,
- 47', 3 - 0, Kuhl K. ⚽,
- 54', 3 - 1, Mesjasz M. ⚽, Rubio S. (A),
- 55', Kuhl K. ↓, Pandini M. ↑,
- 59', 3 - 2, Ijeh E. ⚽, Arrigoni G. (A),
- 72', Cesarini E. ↓, Grimshaw C. ↑,
- 72', Stokic S. ↓, Laurent E. ↑,
- 73', Minami M. 🟨,
- 77', Koivisto E. ↓, Vigilucci V. ↑,
- 85', Haavi E. ↓, Pilgrim A. ↑,
- 87', Rubio S. ↓, Karczewska N. ↑,
- 90', Giacinti V. ↓, Pante M. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 3, Ijeh E. ⚽, Dompig C. (A),
Chances of winning
Roma
66.2% | Draw
19% | Milan
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Roma - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.39) |
4.8 ↑
(4.5) |
6.21 ↑
(6.02) |
9.4%
(10.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Roma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Roma is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:25. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Milan?
Roma has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Roma?
Milan has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Milan were as follows:
22.03.2025
Milan
-
Roma
3:1
25.01.2025
Milan
-
Roma
3:2
20.10.2024
Roma
-
Milan
2:1
10.03.2024
Roma
-
Milan
5:2
03.03.2024
Milan
-
Roma
0:2
Italian Serie A Women Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Juventus W ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 64:31 | 33 | 55 |
| 2 | Inter W ✔ | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 | AS Roma W ✔ | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 49:36 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Fiorentina W | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | AC Milan W | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 42:46 | -4 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Juventus W is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League Women (League phase )
Inter W is Qualified for Champions League Women (League phase )
AS Roma W is Qualified for Champions League Women (League phase )
