Result
1:3
19/10/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 3
- Referee: Spina B. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Austria | DAZN |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (245/350) | 78% (365/466) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 2.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (245/350) | 78% (365/466) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (18/55) | 49% (30/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (69/126) | 65% (60/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (17/20) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Rieke A. ↓, Greggi G. ↑,
- 31', Giordano M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', 0 - 1, Dragoni G. ⚽, Bergamaschi V. (A),
- 49', 0 - 2, Corelli A. ⚽, Viens E. (A),
- 61', Dragoni G. ↓, Pilgrim A. ↑,
- 62', Kuhl K. ↓, Pandini M. ↑,
- 66', Pettenuzzo T. ↓, Doucoure M. ↑,
- 66', Bellucci M. ↓, Sciabica M. ↑,
- 66', Carcassi A. ↓, Troan M. ↑,
- 77', Bergamaschi V. ↓, Thogersen F. ↑,
- 77', Haavi E. ↓, Pante M. ↑,
- 77', Kozak K. ↓, Vanmechelen D. ↑,
- 77', Muth N. R. ↓, Langella G. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 3, Corelli A. ⚽, Veje K. (A),
- 90', van Diemen S. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, Vanmechelen D. ⚽, Floe Nielsen C. (A),
Chances of winning
Napoli 8.8% | Draw 20% | Roma 71.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-22.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Napoli - Roma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
10.61 ↑ (9.87) |
4.65 ↑ (4.26) |
1.3 ↓ (1.36) |
7.6% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Napoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Roma is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:28. (average 0.9:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Roma?
Napoli has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Napoli?
Roma has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Roma were as follows:
29.01.2025
Roma
-
Napoli
2:2
15.01.2025
Napoli
-
Roma
0:1
14.12.2024
Napoli
-
Roma
1:2
29.09.2024
Roma
-
Napoli
3:1
10.02.2024
Napoli
-
Roma
0:1
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Lazio W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Napoli W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Inter W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 5 |
| 5 | Fiorentina W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Juventus W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Sassuolo W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Parma W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | AC Milan W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Como W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Genoa W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Ternana W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women