Roma vs Parma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
29/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 9
  • Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, ART Sport 2
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Extra 1
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.21
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
85% (438/517)75% (261/347)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.21
xG on target (xGOT)
1.631.73
Total shots
188
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
98
Passes
85% (438/517)75% (261/347)
Long passes
39% (12/31)43% (23/53)
Passes in final third
72% (111/155)51% (38/74)
Crosses
25% (7/28)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.34
Throw-ins
2312
Fouls
89
Tackles
45% (5/11)56% (9/16)
Duels won
4851
Clearances
1537
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.731.63
Goals prevented
0.73-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Ferguson E. , Bailey L. ,
  • 38', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Bailey L. , El Aynaoui N. ,
  • 60', Cutrone P. , Benedyczak A. ,
  • 63', 1 - 0, Hermoso M. , Dybala P. (A),
  • 73', Soule M. , Dovbyk A. ,
  • 77', Pellegrino M. , Djuric M. ,
  • 77', Bernabe A. , Cremaschi B. ,
  • 78', Estevez N. , Almqvist P. ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Dovbyk A. ,
  • 85', Mancini G. , Ghilardi D. ,
  • 85', Wesley Franca , Rensch D. ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Circati A. , Benedyczak A. (A),
  • 90+1', Britschgi S. , Begic T. ,
  • 90+2', Ordonez C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Roma
64.7%
Draw
22.6%
Parma
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.4% 22.3% 13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 21.6% 12.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Roma - Parma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.49)
    4.35
    (4.3)
    7.4
    (7.19)
    3.6%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Roma - Parma?
  • Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 53 - 81.5%). Parma will win (votes: 8 - 12.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 72.1%90.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Parma (5.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Roma will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Roma (votes: 21 - 84%). Parma (votes: 4 - 16%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Parma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Parma has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Roma is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Roma: Bove E. (Heart Problems)
    • There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ondrejka J. (Broken ankle) Oristanio G. (Muscle Injury) Valeri E. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Roma: Angelino (Illness)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Roma won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:13. (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:4. (average 2.4:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Parma were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Parma - Roma 0:1
    22.12.2024 Roma - Parma 5:0
    Latest results of Roma
    26.10.2025 Sassuolo - Roma 0:1
    23.10.2025 Roma - Viktoria Plzeň 1:2
    18.10.2025 Roma - Inter Milan 0:1
    05.10.2025 Fiorentina - Roma 1:2
    02.10.2025 Roma - Lille 0:1
    Latest results of Parma
    25.10.2025 Parma - Como 0:0
    19.10.2025 Genoa - Parma 0:0
    04.10.2025 Parma - Lecce 0:1
    29.09.2025 Parma - Torino 2:1
    24.09.2025 Parma - Spezia 3:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter27221464:214367
    2AC Milan27169243:202357
    3Napoli27165641:281353
    4AS Roma27163837:191851
    5Como27139544:202448
    6Juventus27138646:281847
    7Atalanta27129637:241345
    8Bologna271161036:32439
    9Sassuolo271151134:36-238
    10Udinese271051231:39-835
    11Lazio27810926:27-134
    12Parma27891020:32-1233
    13Cagliari27791129:36-730
    14Torino27861327:47-2030
    15Genoa27691232:39-727
    16Fiorentina27591330:42-1224
    17Cremonese27591321:38-1724
    18Lecce27661518:36-1824
    19Pisa271121420:44-2415
    20Verona27291620:48-2815

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B