Result
04/05/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Roma
58.1% | Draw
23.2% | Fiorentina
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2%)
Roma - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.74) |
4.11 ↑
(3.89) |
5.13 ↑
(4.54) |
4.5%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Roma - Fiorentina?
Users Predictions:
Roma will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 2.
- Roma is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fiorentina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Roma is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:32. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Fiorentina?
Roma has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Roma?
Fiorentina has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Fiorentina were as follows:
05.10.2025
Fiorentina
-
Roma
1:2
04.05.2025
Roma
-
Fiorentina
1:0
27.10.2024
Fiorentina
-
Roma
5:1
10.03.2024
Fiorentina
-
Roma
2:2
10.12.2023
Roma
-
Fiorentina
1:1
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter ✔ | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 80:31 | 49 | 79 |
| 2 | Napoli | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 69 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 48:27 | 21 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 57:29 | 28 | 64 |
| 5 | Como | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 59:28 | 31 | 61 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 48:29 | 19 | 61 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47:32 | 15 | 54 |
| 8 | Lazio | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:33 | 4 | 48 |
| 9 | Bologna | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42:41 | 1 | 48 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41:44 | -3 | 46 |
| 11 | Udinese | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:46 | -5 | 44 |
| 12 | Parma | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 42 |
| 13 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:56 | -17 | 41 |
| 14 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 38:45 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 36 |
| 17 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 24:47 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26:51 | -25 | 28 |
| 19 | Verona | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 23:56 | -33 | 19 |
| 20 | Pisa | 35 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 25:63 | -38 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
