Rosario Central vs Independiente del Valle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
09/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 5
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
greeceGreeceERT Sports 2
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
spainSpainLaLiga+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.361.40
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
2610
Shots on target
92
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
93
Passes
84% (334/399)76% (224/296)
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.361.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.15
Total shots
2610
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
116
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
155
Shots outside the box
115
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
425
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
75
Passes
84% (334/399)76% (224/296)
Long passes
60% (30/50)44% (24/54)
Passes in final third
71% (101/142)60% (27/45)
Crosses
32% (12/37)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.430.45
Throw ins
237
Fouls
57
Tackles
75% (9/12)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
740
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
29
xGOT faced
0.150.98
Goals prevented
0.150.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Perello M. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 58', Pata E. , Guagua D. ,
  • 58', Lerma J. , Briones R. ,
  • 60', Sornoza J. 🟥,
  • 63', Coronel E. , Copetti E. ,
  • 73', Romero Padilla D. A. , Velasco A. ,
  • 75', Ibarra F. 🟨,
  • 80', Quintana A. 🟨,
  • 82', Ovando I. , Quintana C. ,
  • 85', Campaz J. 🟨,
  • 88', Gonzalez C. , Angulo J. ,
  • 89', Sandez A. , Fernandez J. ,

Chances of winning


Rosario Central
61.1%
Draw
25%
Independiente del Valle
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 28.8% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 28.1% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosario Central's performance.
  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente del Valle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rosario Central that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente del Valle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rosario Central - Independiente del Valle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.82)
    3.76
    (3.25)
    6.67
    (4.76)
    6%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Rosario Central - Independiente del Valle?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 46.4%99%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosario (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Ind del Valle (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosario (votes: 1 - 50%). Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • In this match, Rosario is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Rosario: Avila G. (Injury) Di Maria A. (Inactive) Fernandez J. (Heel Injury) Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Komar J. (Heart Problems) Ovando I. (Inactive) Ruben M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Ind del Valle: Pombo J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ind del Valle: Cazares (Injury) Villar G. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Latest results of Independiente del Valle
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ11002:023
    2Estudiantes L.P10101:101
    3Ind. Medellin10101:101
    4Cusco10010:2-20


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo10101:101
    2Nacional10101:101
    3Deportes Tolima10100:001
    4U. de Deportes10100:001


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia11001:013
    2Fluminense10100:001
    3La Guaira10100:001
    4Bolivar10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors11002:113
    2Cruzeiro11001:013
    3U. Catolica10011:2-10
    4Barcelona SC10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians11002:023
    2Santa Fe10101:101
    3Penarol10101:101
    4Platense10010:2-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11001:013
    2Palmeiras10101:101
    3Junior10101:101
    4Cerro Porteno10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mirassol11001:013
    2LDU Quito11001:013
    3Lanus10010:1-10
    4Always Ready10010:1-10


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Universidad Central11003:123
    2Rosario Central10100:001
    3Ind. del Valle10100:001
    4Libertad Asuncion10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)