Independiente Rivadavia vs Rosario Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2026 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza).

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 12
Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.71	0.65
Ball possession
29%	71%
Total shots
8	13
Shots on target
4	3
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
3	3
Passes
70% (149/214)	88% (464/527)
Yellow cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.71	0.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.20	0.19
Total shots
8	13
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
4	8
Blocked shots
0	2
Shots inside the box
4	10
Shots outside the box
4	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
10	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
10	14
Passes
70% (149/214)	88% (464/527)
Long passes
50% (32/64)	56% (19/34)
Passes in final third
46% (36/78)	80% (95/119)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	45% (9/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.38	0.88
Throw ins
18	27
Fouls
14	10
Tackles
62% (8/13)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
43	55
Clearances
13	17
Interceptions
6	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.19	1.20
Goals prevented
0.19	-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Gomez L. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Arce A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Fernandez P. ↓, Copetti E. ↑,
62', Gimenez E. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
70', Copetti E. 🟨,
71', Atencio R. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
76', Sandez A. 🟨,
82', Sartori F. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
83', Sandez A. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
89', Bottari T. ↓, Costa L. ↑,
89', Arce A. ↓, Crego D. ↑,
89', Gomez L. ↓, Elordi J. M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Independiente Rivadavia
33.8%

Draw
32.7%

Rosario Central
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

32.3%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

32.2%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Independiente Rivadavia - Rosario Central Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.85)	2.89 ↑ (2.89)	2.8 ↑ (2.67)	6.4% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Rosario Central?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Rosario will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente Rivadavia will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Independiente R has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Rosario is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Rosario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Rosario: Copetti E. (Inactive) Coronel E. (Inactive) Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Komar J. (Heart Problems) Ruben M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Independiente R: Macagno R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Rosario: Fernandez J. (Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Rosario Central?

Independiente Rivadavia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against Independiente Rivadavia?

Rosario Central has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Rosario Central were as follows:

04.11.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Rosario Central 1:1

08.02.2024 Rosario Central - Independiente Rivadavia 1:0

Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia

15.03.2026 Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia 2:3 ✺

11.03.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central 1:2 ✺

02.03.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate 1:1 ✺

26.02.2026 Racing - Independiente Rivadavia 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Rosario Central

14.03.2026 Rosario Central - Banfield 2:1 ✺

11.03.2026 Argentinos Juniors - Rosario Central 0:0 ✺

01.03.2026 Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central 0:2 ✺

25.02.2026 Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central 1:2 ✺

20.02.2026 Rosario Central - Talleres de Córdoba 0:1 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Apertura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P. ✔	16	9	4	3	19:7	12	31
2	Boca Juniors ✔	16	8	6	2	22:9	13	30
3	Velez Sarsfield ✔	15	7	6	2	17:11	6	27
4	Talleres Cordoba ✔	16	7	5	4	17:13	4	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24:20	4	24
6	Lanus ✔	16	6	6	4	18:15	3	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14:14	0	22
8	Union de Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	4	21
9	Defensa y Justicia	15	4	7	4	17:19	-2	19
10	Instituto	15	5	3	7	15:17	-2	18
11	Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	-5	16
12	Gimnasia Mendoza	15	4	4	7	12:21	-9	16
13	Central Cordoba	16	4	4	8	11:21	-10	16
14	Newells Old Boys	15	3	5	7	14:26	-12	14
15	Dep. Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	-7	11

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia ✔	15	10	3	2	28:14	14	33
2	River Plate ✔	15	9	2	4	22:11	11	29
3	Argentinos Jrs ✔	15	8	5	2	17:11	6	29
4	Rosario Central ✔	15	8	3	4	19:15	4	27
5	Belgrano	15	6	5	4	13:13	0	23
6	Gimnasia L.P	15	7	2	6	17:19	-2	23
7	Huracan	15	5	6	4	17:13	4	21
8	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	15:15	0	21
9	Racing Club	15	5	5	5	17:15	2	20
10	Tigre	15	4	7	4	17:14	3	19
11	Sarmiento Junin	15	6	1	8	13:16	-3	19
12	Banfield	16	5	3	8	17:19	-2	18
13	Atl. Tucuman	15	2	5	8	14:20	-6	11
14	Aldosivi	15	0	7	8	5:18	-13	7
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	15	1	2	12	5:22	-17	5

Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)