Rosario Central vs Independiente del Valle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
09/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 5
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
greeceGreeceERT Sports 2
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
spainSpainLaLiga+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.361.40
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
2610
Shots on target
92
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
93
Passes
84% (334/399)76% (224/296)
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.361.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.15
Total shots
2610
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
116
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
155
Shots outside the box
115
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
425
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
75
Passes
84% (334/399)76% (224/296)
Long passes
60% (30/50)44% (24/54)
Passes in final third
71% (101/142)60% (27/45)
Crosses
32% (12/37)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.430.45
Throw ins
237
Fouls
57
Tackles
75% (9/12)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
740
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
29
xGOT faced
0.150.98
Goals prevented
0.150.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Perello M. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 58', Pata E. , Guagua D. ,
  • 58', Lerma J. , Briones R. ,
  • 60', Sornoza J. 🟥,
  • 63', Coronel E. , Copetti E. ,
  • 73', Romero Padilla D. A. , Velasco A. ,
  • 75', Ibarra F. 🟨,
  • 80', Quintana A. 🟨,
  • 82', Ovando I. , Quintana C. ,
  • 85', Campaz J. 🟨,
  • 88', Gonzalez C. , Angulo J. ,
  • 89', Sandez A. , Fernandez J. ,

Chances of winning


Rosario Central
61.1%
Draw
25%
Independiente del Valle
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 28.8% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 28.1% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosario Central's performance.
  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente del Valle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rosario Central that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente del Valle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rosario Central - Independiente del Valle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.82)
    3.76
    (3.25)
    6.67
    (4.76)
    6%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Rosario Central - Independiente del Valle?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 46.4%99%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosario (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Ind del Valle (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosario (votes: 1 - 50%). Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • In this match, Rosario is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Rosario: Avila G. (Injury) Di Maria A. (Inactive) Fernandez J. (Heel Injury) Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Komar J. (Heart Problems) Ovando I. (Inactive) Ruben M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Ind del Valle: Pombo J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ind del Valle: Cazares (Injury) Villar G. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Latest results of Independiente del Valle
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P31204:315
    3Ind. Medellin31113:5-24
    4Cusco30031:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima31114:314
    2Nacional31116:604
    3U. de Deportes31114:404
    4Coquimbo31113:4-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia33007:259
    2Bolivar31113:214
    3La Guaira30212:5-32
    4Fluminense30121:4-31


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors32015:236
    2U. Catolica32015:416
    3Cruzeiro32013:216
    4Barcelona SC30031:6-50


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians33006:069
    2Platense32014:406
    3Santa Fe30122:5-31
    4Penarol30122:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal32014:226
    2Palmeiras31204:315
    3Cerro Porteno31112:204
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito32013:126
    2Lanus32012:116
    3Mirassol32013:216
    4Always Ready30030:4-40


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central32104:047
    2Ind. del Valle32106:337
    3Universidad Central31024:7-33
    4Libertad Asuncion30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)