Peñarol de Montevideo vs Rosario Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Peñarol de Montevideo - Rosario Central
Result
2:1
28/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
brazilBrazilESPN 3
germanyGermanySport 1+
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.87
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
1114
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
88
Free Kicks
1818
Corner Kicks
25
Offsides
02
Throw-ins
1120
Goalkeeper Saves
51
Fouls
1815
Yellow Cards
53
Attacks
94110
Dangerous Attacks
3439

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Ramirez G. 🟨,
  • 27', Mendez J. 🟨,
  • 30', Ibarra F. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Fernandez L. , Milans P. (A),
  • 39', Fernandez L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ramirez G. , Cabrera J. ,
  • 58', Milans P. , Mayada C. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Modica A. ,
  • 70', Sequeira L. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 72', Ortiz K. , Gomez J. ,
  • 77', Darias E. 🟨,
  • 77', Darias E. , Sosa I. ,
  • 83', Campaz J. , Dupuy L. ,
  • 83', Malcorra I. , Giaccone L. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Fernandez L. , Cabrera J. (A),
  • 88', Aguerre W. 🟨,
  • 89', Quintana C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Modica A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
46.7%
Draw
29.5%
Rosario Central
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 30.8% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 29.7% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Rosario Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.19)
    3.18
    (3.04)
    3.96
    (3.56)
    6.2%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Rosario Central?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Rosario will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 60.7%93.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Peñarol in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Rosario is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Peñarol will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Rosario Central were as follows:
    04.04.2024 Rosario Central - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:0
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ