Result
2:1 penalties
02/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Alarcon A. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, Shantaliy D. ⚽, Zhbanov I. (A),
- 43', Shikhaliev A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Shikhaliev A. ↓, Glushkov N. ↑,
- 46', Alarcon A. ↓, Alibekov M. ↑,
- 46', Tabidze J. ↓, Sundukov T. ↑,
- 46', Chistyakov D. ↓, Melekhin V. ↑,
- 52', Gadzhiev S. ↓, Mrezigue H. ↑,
- 60', Mrezigue H. 🟨,
- 61', Golenkov E. ↓, Mohebi M. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Sundukov T. ⚽, Serderov S. (A),
- 66', Magomedov R. ↓, Budunov G. ↑,
- 67', Mohebi M. 🟨,
- 78', Prokhin D. ↓, Mironov A. ↑,
- 78', Bayramyan K. ↓, Shchetinin K. ↑,
- 78', Komarov I. ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 82', Akhmedov I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Melekhin V. 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Budunov G. (Pen),
- 1, Mironov A. (Pen),
- 2, Akhmedov I. (Pen),
- 2, Ronaldo (Pen),
- 3, Mrezigue H. (Pen),
- 3, Ignatov G. (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
Chances of winning
Dynamo Makhachkala
28.1% | Draw
29.8% | Rostov
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Makhachkala's form might have worsened.Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rostov's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Makhachkala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rostov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dynamo Makhachkala - Rostov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↑
(2.66) |
3.26 ↓
(3.49) |
2.31 ↓
(2.8) |
3%
(2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Dynamo Makhachkala - Rostov?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Dynamo Makhachkala will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Rostov will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Dynamo Makhachkala is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Makhachkala won 1.
- Recent performances by Dynamo Makhachkala have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Rostov is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rostov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Makhachkala won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Dynamo Makhachkala won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Makhachkala won against Rostov?
Dynamo Makhachkala has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against Dynamo Makhachkala?
Rostov has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Makhachkala - Rostov were as follows:
27.08.2025
Rostov
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
1:3
09.07.2025
Rostov
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
2:1
24.05.2025
Dynamo Makhachkala
-
Rostov
1:1
22.09.2024
Rostov
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
0:0
03.07.2024
Rostov
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
3:1
Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala
Russian Cup Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Zenit ✔ | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Orenburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Akhmat Grozny | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:7 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Sochi | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:15 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Dynamo Makhachkala ✔ | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 3 | FK Rostov | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Pari NN | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 3 |
Group D | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Baltika | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 4 | Akron Togliatti | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Regions Path ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zenit is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
Dynamo Makhachkala is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
