Rotherham United vs Manchester City U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
28/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.891.84
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
77% (300/390)79% (309/392)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.891.84
xG on target (xGOT)
2.931.78
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2028
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
99
Passes
77% (300/390)79% (309/392)
Long passes
44% (36/82)33% (14/43)
Passes in final third
54% (46/85)62% (56/91)
Crosses
22% (4/18)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.81
Throw-ins
3216
Fouls
99
Tackles
33% (6/18)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5652
Clearances
1226
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.782.93
Goals prevented
-0.22-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Sangare M. , Breckin K. (A),
  • 18', Heskey R. 🟨,
  • 22', Kelly L. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 2, Gray C. , Heskey R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Hugill J. , Martha A. ,
  • 54', Braithwaite K. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 2, McWilliams S. (Pen),
  • 57', 2 - 2, Ayres J. ,
  • 62', McWilliams S. , Gore D. ,
  • 62', Heskey R. , Muir A. ,
  • 62', Hall D. , Powell J. ,
  • 63', McAidoo R. , Lawrence E. ,
  • 66', 3 - 2, Powell J. ,
  • 69', Parker H. 🟨,
  • 69', 4 - 2, Raggett S. , Martha A. (A),
  • 71', Breckin K. , Oboavwoduo J. ,
  • 76', Holmes J. , Clarke J. ,
  • 79', Headley D. , Noble K. ,
  • 79', Braithwaite K. , Naylor S. ,
  • 79', Kelly L. , Douglas H. ,

Chances of winning


Rotherham United
40.9%
Draw
25.4%
Manchester City U21
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 23.7% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 22.8% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotherham United's form might have worsened.
  • Manchester City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester City U21's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rotherham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City U21 than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester City U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rotherham United - Manchester City U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (1.91)
    3.69
    (3.9)
    2.79
    (3.3)
    5.8%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Manchester City U21?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rotherham has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Man City U21's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rotherham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rotherham might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rotherham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Rotherham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9LutonExeter4 : 0
    10SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    11Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    12Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1
    13CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    14ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    15NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    16StevenageWalsall1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5LutonSwindon1 : 2
    6Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4
    7AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    8NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    2Port ValeStockport County0 : 4
    3LutonPlymouth2 : 1
    4AFC WimbledonNorthampton1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1DoncasterStockport County
    2LutonNorthampton

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2