Krasnodar vs Rubin Kazan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Premier League Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan
Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 27
  • Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ Football Asia
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.711.66
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
73% (216/294)69% (238/344)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.711.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.430.88
Total shots
916
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1933
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1822
Passes
73% (216/294)69% (238/344)
Long passes
39% (25/64)33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
63% (65/104)54% (51/95)
Crosses
55% (6/11)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.38
Throw-ins
2015
Fouls
2218
Tackles
73% (11/15)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5763
Clearances
2915
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.881.43
Goals prevented
-0.12-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Spertsyan E. (Pen),
  • 6', Chernikov A. 🟨,
  • 6', Daku M. 🟨,
  • 14', Tormena 🟨,
  • 40', 2 - 0, Tormena , Spertsyan E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Chernikov A. , Krivtsov N. ,
  • 71', Victor Sa , Cobnan M. D. ,
  • 75', Vada V. , Ivanov O. ,
  • 76', Bezrukov R. , Rozhkov I. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Rozhkov I. , Kabutov D. (A),
  • 86', Joao Batxi , Olusegun O. ,
  • 90+1', Lenini K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Cordoba J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Spertsyan E. , Kozlov D. ,

Chances of winning


Krasnodar
69.8%
Draw
18.9%
Rubin Kazan
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 22.9% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66% 21.9% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krasnodar's performance.
  • Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.56)
    5.15
    (4.31)
    8.69
    (7.07)
    2.6%
    (1.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 3.
    • Krasnodar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rubin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Krasnodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Krasnodar is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Krasnodar: Diego Costa (Red Card) Petrov S. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Rubin: Jocic B. (Injury)
    • We predict that Krasnodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.6:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Rubin Kazan - Krasnodar 1:1
    02.03.2024 Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan 1:1
    30.09.2023 Rubin Kazan - Krasnodar 0:2
    Latest results of Krasnodar
    19.04.2025 Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny 3:1
    13.04.2025 Zenit - Krasnodar 4:1
    05.04.2025 Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti 1:0
    30.03.2025 Krasnodar - Fakel 5:0
    Latest results of Rubin Kazan
    27.04.2025 Rubin Kazan - Fakel 2:1
    30.03.2025 Zenit - Rubin Kazan 4:0
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow11003:033
    2Krasnodar11003:033
    3Rubin Kazan11002:023
    4Zenit11002:113
    5Spartak Moscow11001:013
    6Baltika10101:101
    7Dynamo Moscow10101:101
    8Krylya Sovetov10101:101
    9Akron Togliatti10101:101
    10Orenburg10100:001
    11CSKA Moscow10100:001
    12FK Rostov10011:2-10
    13Dynamo Makhachkala10010:1-10
    14Akhmat Grozny10010:2-20
    15Pari NN10010:3-30
    16Sochi10010:3-30

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL