Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 27
- Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | Q Football Asia |
Belarus | Belarus 5 |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.71 | 1.66 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
73% (216/294) | 69% (238/344) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.71 | 1.66 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.43 | 0.88 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 33 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 22 |
Passes |
---|
73% (216/294) | 69% (238/344) |
Long passes |
---|
39% (25/64) | 33% (20/61) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (65/104) | 54% (51/95) |
Crosses |
---|
55% (6/11) | 31% (5/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.94 | 1.38 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
22 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (11/15) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 63 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 15 |
Interceptions |
---|
13 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.88 | 1.43 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.12 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Spertsyan E. (Pen),
- 6', Chernikov A. 🟨,
- 6', Daku M. 🟨,
- 14', Tormena 🟨,
- 40', 2 - 0, Tormena ⚽, Spertsyan E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Chernikov A. ↓, Krivtsov N. ↑,
- 71', Victor Sa ↓, Cobnan M. D. ↑,
- 75', Vada V. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
- 76', Bezrukov R. ↓, Rozhkov I. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Rozhkov I. ⚽, Kabutov D. (A),
- 86', Joao Batxi ↓, Olusegun O. ↑,
- 90+1', Lenini K. 🟨,
- 90+4', Cordoba J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Spertsyan E. ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Krasnodar 69.8% | Draw 18.9% | Rubin Kazan 11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krasnodar's performance.Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.4 ↓ (1.56) |
5.15 ↑ (4.31) |
8.69 ↑ (7.07) |
2.6% (1.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 3.
- Krasnodar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Rubin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Krasnodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Krasnodar is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Diego Costa
(Red Card)
Petrov S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Rubin: Jocic B.
(Injury)
- We predict that Krasnodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.6:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Rubin Kazan?
Krasnodar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Krasnodar?
Rubin Kazan has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
10.11.2024
Rubin Kazan
-
Krasnodar
1:1
02.03.2024
Krasnodar
-
Rubin Kazan
1:1
30.09.2023
Rubin Kazan
-
Krasnodar
0:2
Latest results of Krasnodar
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Zenit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
12 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Pari NN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Sochi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL