Result
2:1
08/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (221/346) | 77% (450/581) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (221/346) | 77% (450/581) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (28/75) | 35% (24/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (62/126) | 59% (88/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | -1.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Gripshi N. ⚽, Siwe J. (A),
- 39', Saavedra I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Chernikov A. ↓, Krivtsov N. ↑,
- 64', Douglas Augusto ↓, Lenini K. ↑,
- 66', Rozhkov I. ↓, Nizhegorodov K. ↑,
- 66', Bezrukov R. ↓, Kuzyaev D. ↑,
- 68', Joao Batxi ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
- 68', Gonzalez G. ↓, Paltsev V. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 0, Nizhegorodov K. ⚽,
- 77', Gripshi N. ↓, Kuznetsov D. ↑,
- 79', Victor Sa ↓, Guseynov E. ↑,
- 81', Siwe J. 🟨,
- 82', 🟨,
- 87', Hodza V. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
- 88', Siwe J. ↓, Motorin D. N. ↑,
- 89', Arroyo A. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Cordoba J. ⚽, Boselli J. (A),
Chances of winning
Rubin Kazan
18.2% | Draw
27% | Krasnodar
54.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rubin Kazan's form might have worsened.Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Krasnodar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rubin Kazan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Krasnodar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rubin Kazan - Krasnodar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.19 ↑
(3.75) |
3.5 ↑
(3.3) |
1.73 ↓
(1.94) |
5.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rubin Kazan - Krasnodar?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Krasnodar will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Krasnodar will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 0.
- Rubin is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Krasnodar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Krasnodar is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Rubin: Iwu U.
(Muscle Injury)
Jocic B.
(Yellow Cards)
Shvets A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Petrov S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Krasnodar?
Rubin Kazan has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Rubin Kazan?
Krasnodar has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rubin Kazan - Krasnodar were as follows:
26.10.2025
Krasnodar
-
Rubin Kazan
1:0
03.05.2025
Krasnodar
-
Rubin Kazan
2:1
10.11.2024
Rubin Kazan
-
Krasnodar
1:1
02.03.2024
Krasnodar
-
Rubin Kazan
1:1
30.09.2023
Rubin Kazan
-
Krasnodar
0:2
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Latest results of Krasnodar
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 47:16 | 31 | 49 |
| 2 | Zenit | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 41:15 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 48:30 | 18 | 44 |
| 4 | Baltika | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:9 | 21 | 42 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:28 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 30 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 12:27 | -15 | 21 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 18 |
| 16 | Sochi | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 20:52 | -32 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
