Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
Chances of winning
Muhanga 27.2% | Draw 31.7% | Rutsiro 41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muhanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muhanga's form might have worsened.Rutsiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rutsiro's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muhanga than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muhanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rutsiro than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Muhanga - Rutsiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.33 ↑ (2.66) |
2.85 ↓ (2.93) |
2.2 ↓ (2.53) |
10.7% (11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16).
- In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.
- Rutsiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Muhanga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Muhanga won against Rutsiro?
Muhanga has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rutsiro won against Muhanga?
Rutsiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Muhanga - Rutsiro were as follows:
29.11.2025
Rutsiro
-
Muhanga
0:1
Latest results of Muhanga
Latest results of Rutsiro
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 45:16 | 29 | 42 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gicumbi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation