Result
1:1
30/03/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Hamzazade R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Sofir G. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Mabatshoev S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Nabiyev Y. ↓, Ahmadov S. ↑,
- 46', Quliyev N. ↓, Mammadov O. ↑,
- 58', Sofir G. ↓, Abdullayev S. ↑,
- 58', Abbasov M. ↓, Nshuti I. ↑,
- 61', Verdasca D. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 1, Lytvyn D. ⚽,
- 69', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Cafarov C. ↑,
- 75', Mabatshoev S. ↓, Buhagiar T. ↑,
- 75', Ardazishvili R. ↓, L'Koucha K. ↑,
- 76', Ahmadov S. 🟨,
- 81', Celik M. ↓, Rustamov E. ↑,
- 84', Pachu ↓, Shafiyev S. ↑,
- 84', Qyrtymov I. ↓, Khvalko E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kapaz
45.7% | Draw
29.2% | Səbail
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kapaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Səbail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kapaz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Səbail could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kapaz - Səbail Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.19) |
3.13 ↓
(3.19) |
3.62 ↑
(3.09) |
9.7%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kapaz won 1.
- Kapaz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Səbail has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Kapaz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Kapaz will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Kapaz won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 15:30 (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kapaz won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:15 (average 1.3:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Kapaz won against Səbail?
Kapaz has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Səbail won against Kapaz?
Səbail has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kapaz - Səbail were as follows:
25.01.2025
Səbail
-
Kapaz
1:0
03.11.2024
Kapaz
-
Səbail
1:0
23.08.2024
Səbail
-
Kapaz
4:0
14.04.2024
Səbail
-
Kapaz
3:3
12.02.2024
Kapaz
-
Səbail
1:4
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sumqayit | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Karvan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Sabah Baku | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Turan Tovuz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Gabala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Araz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Zira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Shamakhi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Imisli FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Qarabag | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
