Carcassonne vs SA XV Charente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
35:31
19/12/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Pro D2 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 19)
  • 2nd Half (28 - 12)

Chances of winning


Carcassonne
59%
Draw
4%
SA XV Charente
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 5.1% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9% 6.8% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carcassonne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • SA XV Charente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carcassonne than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carcassonne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SA XV Charente than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SA XV Charente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carcassonne - SA XV Charente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.72)
    23.73
    (18.17)
    2.49
    (2.29)
    8.5%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 44.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Carcassonne - SA XV Charente?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. SA XV Charente (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: SA XV Charente will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:21.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carcassonne won 2.
    • Carcassonne has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • SA XV Charente's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • SA XV Charente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Carcassonne could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that SA XV Charente will win today's game, with odds of 2.31.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Carcassonne won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 181:179. (average 18.1:17.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carcassonne won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 119:104. (average 19.8:17.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carcassonne - SA XV Charente were as follows:
    17.02.2023 Carcassonne - SA XV Charente 15:20
    14.10.2022 SA XV Charente - Carcassonne 18:6
    Latest results of Carcassonne
    12.12.2025 Brive - Carcassonne 53:16
    05.12.2025 Carcassonne - Vannes 15:52
    28.11.2025 Provence Rugby - Carcassonne 48:16
    07.11.2025 US Dax - Carcassonne 19:0
    Latest results of SA XV Charente
    French Pro D2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Vannes221813719:40185
    2Colomiers221606590:33772
    3Provence Rugby221408662:48770
    4Valence Romans221408558:53162
    5US Oyonnax2211011658:48457
    6CA Brive2211110614:48555
    7Agen2211011558:52152
    8Aurillac2210012513:56347
    9Grenoble FC2210012540:58745
    10Angouleme2210012397:54644
    11Nevers228113532:70340
    12Beziers229013442:54938
    13US Dax2210012495:47035
    14Biarritz Olympique228113561:65035
    15Mont-de-Marsan227114458:72733
    16Carcassonne226115398:65430

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