Sacramento Republic vs Indy Eleven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven
Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Meyer B. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.450.28
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
84% (426/510)67% (153/229)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.450.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.010.44
Total shots
115
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
168
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
84% (426/510)67% (153/229)
Long passes
25% (6/24)22% (13/59)
Passes in final third
77% (137/178)38% (27/71)
Crosses
25% (7/28)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.20
Throw-ins
2013
Fouls
1114
Tackles
82% (9/11)89% (8/9)
Duels won
5237
Clearances
1441
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.441.01
Goals prevented
-0.46-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Timmer J. 🟨,
  • 20', O'Brien J. 🟨,
  • 33', Parano C. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 1, Amoh E. , Quinn A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Luis Felipe , Ross N. ,
  • 58', Musa J. 🟨,
  • 67', Parano C. , Jamieson L. ,
  • 70', Foster M. , Kizza E. ,
  • 70', Amoh E. , Williams R. ,
  • 77', Kleemann F. , Spaulding R. ,
  • 77', Lopez R. , Willey B. ,
  • 84', Herrera J. , Amann T. ,
  • 86', Quinn A. , McRobb F. ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Amann T. (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sacramento Republic
50.3%
Draw
26%
Indy Eleven
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 26.5% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.94)
    3.56
    (3.49)
    3.9
    (3.6)
    8%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Indy will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Sacramento Republic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Indy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Sacramento Republic is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven were as follows:
    23.03.2024 Indy Eleven - Sacramento Republic 1:1
    13.05.2023 Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven 3:1
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City18125134:142041
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1782726:24226
    5Pittsburgh1875617:15226
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1755727:31-420
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1947822:28-619
    10Tampa Bay17521020:26-617
    11Rhode Island1845914:20-617
    12Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1783624:24027
    3Sacramento Republic1776425:131227
    4El Paso1775530:25526
    5New Mexico1681722:21125
    6Phoenix Rising1866630:33-324
    7Orange County SC1672726:23323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights18531013:34-2118

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )