Sacramento Republic vs Indy Eleven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA).

USL Championship
Referee: Meyer B. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.45	0.28
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Total shots
11	5
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	1
Passes
84% (426/510)	67% (153/229)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45	0.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.01	0.44
Total shots
11	5
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
4	1
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
6	3
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	1
Touches in opposition box
16	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
14	11
Passes
84% (426/510)	67% (153/229)
Long passes
25% (6/24)	22% (13/59)
Passes in final third
77% (137/178)	38% (27/71)
Crosses
25% (7/28)	33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.84	0.20
Throw-ins
20	13
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
82% (9/11)	89% (8/9)
Duels won
52	37
Clearances
14	41
Interceptions
6	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.44	1.01
Goals prevented
-0.46	-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Timmer J. 🟨,
20', O'Brien J. 🟨,
33', Parano C. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Amoh E. ⚽, Quinn A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Luis Felipe ↓, Ross N. ↑,
58', Musa J. 🟨,
67', Parano C. ↓, Jamieson L. ↑,
70', Foster M. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
70', Amoh E. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
77', Kleemann F. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
77', Lopez R. ↓, Willey B. ↑,
84', Herrera J. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
86', Quinn A. ↓, McRobb F. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Amann T. (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Sacramento Republic
50.3%

Draw
26%

Indy Eleven
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

26.5%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.94)	3.56 ↑ (3.49)	3.9 ↑ (3.6)	8% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Indy will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Sacramento Republic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Indy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Sacramento Republic is considered a favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Including home match between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Indy Eleven?

Sacramento Republic has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Sacramento Republic?

Indy Eleven has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven were as follows:

23.03.2024 Indy Eleven - Sacramento Republic 1:1

13.05.2023 Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven 3:1

Latest results of Sacramento Republic

07.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Sacramento Republic 2:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Oakland Roots - Sacramento Republic 0:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Sacramento Republic - AV Alta 1:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic 2:2 ✺

16.04.2025 Sacramento Republic - El Farolito 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Indy Eleven

07.05.2025 Philadelphia Union - Indy Eleven 2:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Indy Eleven - Detroit City 2:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Forward Madison - Indy Eleven 0:4 ✺

19.04.2025 Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery 1:3 ✺

16.04.2025 Indy Eleven - Miami 1:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Charleston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Tampa Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Indy Eleven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Detroit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Louisville City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Miami FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hartford Athletic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Loudoun	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Rhode Island	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Sporting Jax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Brooklyn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orange County SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	New Mexico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sacramento Republic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	FC Tulsa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Colorado Springs	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	San Antonio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Phoenix Rising	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Oakland Roots	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Monterey Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Las Vegas Lights	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	El Paso	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Lexington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)