Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Meyer B. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (426/510) | 67% (153/229) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (426/510) | 67% (153/229) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 22% (13/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (137/178) | 38% (27/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Timmer J. 🟨,
- 20', O'Brien J. 🟨,
- 33', Parano C. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Amoh E. ⚽, Quinn A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Luis Felipe ↓, Ross N. ↑,
- 58', Musa J. 🟨,
- 67', Parano C. ↓, Jamieson L. ↑,
- 70', Foster M. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
- 70', Amoh E. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
- 77', Kleemann F. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
- 77', Lopez R. ↓, Willey B. ↑,
- 84', Herrera J. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
- 86', Quinn A. ↓, McRobb F. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Amann T. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Sacramento Republic
50.3% | Draw
26% | Indy Eleven
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(1.94) |
3.56 ↑
(3.49) |
3.9 ↑
(3.6) |
8%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Indy will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Sacramento Republic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Indy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Sacramento Republic is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Indy Eleven?
Sacramento Republic has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Sacramento Republic?
Indy Eleven has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven were as follows:
23.03.2024
Indy Eleven
-
Sacramento Republic
1:1
13.05.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
Indy Eleven
3:1
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
Latest results of Indy Eleven
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 45:22 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
