Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Meyer B. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.45 | 0.28 |
Ball Possession |
---|
70% | 30% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
84% (426/510) | 67% (153/229) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.45 | 0.28 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.01 | 0.44 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 8 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
84% (426/510) | 67% (153/229) |
Long passes |
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25% (6/24) | 22% (13/59) |
Passes in final third |
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77% (137/178) | 38% (27/71) |
Crosses |
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25% (7/28) | 33% (1/3) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.84 | 0.20 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 13 |
Fouls |
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11 | 14 |
Tackles |
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82% (9/11) | 89% (8/9) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 41 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.44 | 1.01 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.46 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Timmer J. 🟨,
- 20', O'Brien J. 🟨,
- 33', Parano C. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Amoh E. ⚽, Quinn A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Luis Felipe ↓, Ross N. ↑,
- 58', Musa J. 🟨,
- 67', Parano C. ↓, Jamieson L. ↑,
- 70', Foster M. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
- 70', Amoh E. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
- 77', Kleemann F. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
- 77', Lopez R. ↓, Willey B. ↑,
- 84', Herrera J. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
- 86', Quinn A. ↓, McRobb F. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Amann T. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Sacramento Republic 50.3% | Draw 26% | Indy Eleven 23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 ↓ (1.94) |
3.56 ↑ (3.49) |
3.9 ↑ (3.6) |
8% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Indy will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Sacramento Republic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Indy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Sacramento Republic is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Indy Eleven?
Sacramento Republic has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Sacramento Republic?
Indy Eleven has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Indy Eleven were as follows:
23.03.2024
Indy Eleven
-
Sacramento Republic
1:1
13.05.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
Indy Eleven
3:1
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
Latest results of Indy Eleven
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Louisville City | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34:14 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
4 | North Carolina | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
5 | Pittsburgh | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
7 | Indy Eleven | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
9 | Birmingham | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 19 |
10 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 17 |
11 | Rhode Island | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
12 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
2 | San Antonio | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 27 |
3 | Sacramento Republic | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
4 | El Paso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 26 |
5 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Phoenix Rising | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 24 |
7 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )