Result
2:1
07/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- US Open Cup - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.52 | 0.09 |
Ball Possession |
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59% | 41% |
Total shots |
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17 | 5 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 3 |
Passes |
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85% (421/495) | 77% (261/340) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 3 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.52 | 0.09 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.80 | 1.07 |
Total shots |
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17 | 5 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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12 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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14 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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29 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 1 |
Offsides |
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1 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 11 |
Passes |
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85% (421/495) | 77% (261/340) |
Long passes |
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57% (41/72) | 37% (22/59) |
Passes in final third |
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68% (85/125) | 56% (34/61) |
Crosses |
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27% (7/26) | 22% (2/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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2.15 | 0.21 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 25 |
Fouls |
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11 | 15 |
Tackles |
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80% (8/10) | 67% (10/15) |
Duels won |
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35 | 45 |
Clearances |
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14 | 19 |
Interceptions |
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16 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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1.07 | 1.80 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.92 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Pellegrino A. ⚽, Judd P. (A),
- 17', Portillo J. J. 🟨,
- 25', Wanner D. 🟨,
- 36', Tsakiris N. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 0, Judd P. ⚽, Tsakiris N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ross N. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
- 64', Wanner D. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
- 64', Spaulding R. ↓, Kleemann F. ↑,
- 66', Rodrigues ↓, Floriani M. ↑,
- 66', Marie P. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
- 73', Portillo J. J. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 76', Buck N. 🟨,
- 77', Edwards A. 🟨,
- 79', Tsakiris N. ↓, Kikanovic B. ↑,
- 83', Ricketts J. 🟥,
- 85', Jamieson L. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
- 87', Judd P. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Amann T. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
Chances of winning
San Jose Earthquakes 54.5% | Draw 24.1% | Sacramento Republic 21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+36.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-36.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sacramento Republic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-34.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+32.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sacramento Republic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Jose Earthquakes - Sacramento Republic Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↓ (5.01) |
3.82 ↓ (3.88) |
4.28 ↑ (1.56) |
8.6% (9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Sacramento Republic?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2.
- Sacramento Republic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- San Jose's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sacramento Republic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, San Jose is a strong favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 2.2:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against Sacramento Republic?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against San Jose Earthquakes?
Sacramento Republic has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
21.05.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
San Jose Earthquakes
4:3
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
Draw
20251/128-finals1 | Louisville City | Bye | |
3 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 2 : 3 |
4 | Richmond Kickers | Virginia Dream | 1 : 3 |
8 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
9 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
13 | Sporting Kansas City II | Menace | 1 : 2 |
14 | Flatirons | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
16 | Bye | San Antonio | |
17 | Hartford Athletic | New York Shockers | 3 : 0 |
18 | Portland Hearts of Pine | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
20 | Bye | Rhode Island | |
24 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
25 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
29 | Detroit | Bye | |
31 | Motown | Westchester SC | |
32 | Cincinnati 2 | New York Pancyprian | 0 : 1 |
33 | Tacoma Defiance | Washington AC | 3 : 1 |
34 | Ballard | Spokane Velocity | 0 : 1 |
36 | Bye | Oakland Roots | |
40 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
41 | Sacramento Republic | Bye | |
43 | Monterey Bay | International SF | 4 : 0 |
44 | Real Monarchs | El Farolito | 1 : 3 |
48 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
49 | Forward Madison | Duluth FC | 5 : 1 |
50 | Tulsa Athletic | FC Tulsa | 0 : 1 |
52 | Bye | Phoenix Rising | |
56 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
57 | Austin FC | Bye | |
61 | New Mexico | Bye | |
63 | Ventura County | Laguna United | 7 : 0 |
64 | El Paso | Harpos | 5 : 1 |
65 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
69 | Indy Eleven | Bye | |
71 | Inter Miami II | Miami United | 4 : 2 |
72 | Miami FC | Naples United | 4 : 1 |
73 | Columbus Crew 2 | NY Renegades | 4 : 1 |
74 | Lexington | Southern Indiana | 5 : 0 |
76 | Bye | Pittsburgh | |
80 | Bye | New York City | |
81 | Colorado Springs | Bye | |
83 | Asheville City | Greenville | 0 : 1 |
84 | Appalachian | One Knoxville | 0 : 3 |
88 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
89 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
93 | AV Alta | Ventura | 3 : 1 |
94 | Los Angeles FC II | Arizona FC | 7 : 1 |
96 | Bye | Orange County SC | |
97 | Sarasota Paradise | FC Naples | 1 : 2 |
98 | Little Rock Rangers | Birmingham | 1 : 0 |
100 | Bye | Tampa Bay | |
104 | Bye | Orlando City | |
105 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
109 | Las Vegas Lights | Bye | |
111 | Chattanooga | Corpus Christi FC | 1 : 0 |
112 | New Jersey Alliance | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2 : 3 |
113 | Long Island | Charlotte Independ. | 2 : 3 |
114 | Carolina Core | Soda City | 4 : 2 |
116 | Bye | North Carolina | |
120 | Bye | Charlotte | |
121 | DC United | Bye | |
125 | Charleston | Bye | |
127 | Tormenta | Harbor City | 3 : 0 |
128 | Texoma | Foro | 1 : 2 |
1/64-finals1 | Louisville City | Bye | |
2 | Loudoun | Virginia Dream | 4 : 2 |
4 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
5 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
7 | Menace | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
8 | Bye | San Antonio | |
9 | Hartford Athletic | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 2 |
10 | Bye | Rhode Island | |
12 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
13 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
15 | Detroit | Bye | |
16 | Westchester SC | New York Pancyprian | 3 : 2 |
17 | Tacoma Defiance | Spokane Velocity | 2 : 1 |
18 | Bye | Oakland Roots | |
20 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
21 | Sacramento Republic | Bye | |
22 | Monterey Bay | El Farolito | 1 : 2 |
24 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
25 | Forward Madison | FC Tulsa | 1 : 3 |
26 | Bye | Phoenix Rising | |
28 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
29 | Austin FC | Bye | |
31 | New Mexico | Bye | |
32 | Ventura County | El Paso | 0 : 3 |
33 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
35 | Indy Eleven | Bye | |
36 | Inter Miami II | Miami FC | 0 : 1 |
37 | Columbus Crew 2 | Lexington | 3 : 0 |
38 | Bye | Pittsburgh | |
40 | Bye | New York City | |
41 | Colorado Springs | Bye | |
42 | Greenville | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
44 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
45 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
47 | AV Alta | Los Angeles FC II | 2 : 1 |
48 | Bye | Orange County SC | |
49 | FC Naples | Little Rock Rangers | 3 : 0 |
50 | Bye | Tampa Bay | |
52 | Bye | Orlando City | |
53 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
55 | Las Vegas Lights | Bye | |
56 | Chattanooga | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 2 |
57 | Charlotte Independ. | Carolina Core | 2 : 1 |
58 | Bye | North Carolina | |
60 | Bye | Charlotte | |
61 | DC United | Bye | |
63 | Charleston | Bye | |
64 | Tormenta | Foro | 3 : 2 |
1/32-finals1 | Louisville City | Loudoun | 2 : 1 |
2 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
3 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
4 | Union Omaha | San Antonio | 1 : 0 |
5 | Portland Hearts of Pine | Rhode Island | 1 : 2 |
6 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
7 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
8 | Detroit | Westchester SC | 3 : 1 |
9 | Tacoma Defiance | Oakland Roots | 2 : 1 |
10 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
11 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 1 : 0 |
12 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
13 | FC Tulsa | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 2 |
14 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
15 | Austin FC | Bye | |
16 | New Mexico | El Paso | 2 : 3 |
17 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
18 | Indy Eleven | Miami FC | 1 : 0 |
19 | Columbus Crew 2 | Pittsburgh | 0 : 1 |
20 | Bye | New York City | |
21 | Colorado Springs | One Knoxville | 3 : 2 |
22 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
23 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
24 | AV Alta | Orange County SC | 3 : 2 |
25 | FC Naples | Tampa Bay | 1 : 2 |
26 | Bye | Orlando City | |
27 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
28 | Las Vegas Lights | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2 : 3 |
29 | Charlotte Independ. | North Carolina | 1 : 3 |
30 | Bye | Charlotte | |
31 | DC United | Bye | |
32 | Charleston | Tormenta | 4 : 0 |
1/16-finals1 | Louisville City | Minnesota United | 0 : 1 |
2 | St. Louis City | Union Omaha | 2 : 0 |
3 | Rhode Island | New England Revolution | 1 : 2 |
4 | Chicago Fire | Detroit | 4 : 0 |
5 | Tacoma Defiance | Portland Timbers | 2 : 3 |
6 | Sacramento Republic | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 : 2 |
7 | Phoenix Rising | Houston Dynamo | 1 : 4 |
8 | Austin FC | El Paso | 3 : 2 |
9 | Philadelphia Union | Indy Eleven | 2 : 1 |
10 | Pittsburgh | New York City | 1 : 0 |
11 | Colorado Springs | New York Red Bulls | 1 : 4 |
12 | FC Dallas | AV Alta | 3 : 1 |
13 | Tampa Bay | Orlando City | 0 : 5 |
14 | Nashville SC | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
15 | North Carolina | Charlotte | 1 : 4 |
16 | DC United | Charleston | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals1 | Minnesota United | St. Louis City | 3 : 2 |
2 | New England Revolution | Chicago Fire | 1 : 3 |
3 | Portland Timbers | San Jose Earthquakes | 0 : 1 |
4 | Houston Dynamo | Austin FC | 1 : 3 |
5 | Philadelphia Union | Pittsburgh | 4 : 1 |
6 | New York Red Bulls | FC Dallas | 3 : 2 |
7 | Orlando City | Nashville SC | 2 : 3 |
8 | Charlotte | DC United | 3 : 4 |
Quarter-finals1 | Minnesota United | Chicago Fire | 3 : 1 |
2 | San Jose Earthquakes | Austin FC | 2 : 3 |
3 | Philadelphia Union | New York Red Bulls | |
4 | Nashville SC | DC United | 5 : 2 |
Semi-finals1 | Minnesota United | Austin FC | |
2 | TBD #3 | Nashville SC | |
Final