Result
2:1
07/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- US Open Cup - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (421/495) | 77% (261/340) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (421/495) | 77% (261/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (41/72) | 37% (22/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (85/125) | 56% (34/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Pellegrino A. ⚽, Judd P. (A),
- 17', Portillo J. J. 🟨,
- 25', Wanner D. 🟨,
- 36', Tsakiris N. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 0, Judd P. ⚽, Tsakiris N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ross N. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
- 64', Wanner D. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
- 64', Spaulding R. ↓, Kleemann F. ↑,
- 66', Rodrigues ↓, Floriani M. ↑,
- 66', Marie P. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
- 73', Portillo J. J. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 76', Buck N. 🟨,
- 77', Edwards A. 🟨,
- 79', Tsakiris N. ↓, Kikanovic B. ↑,
- 83', Ricketts J. 🟥,
- 85', Jamieson L. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
- 87', Judd P. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Amann T. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
Chances of winning
San Jose Earthquakes
54.5% | Draw
24.1% | Sacramento Republic
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+36.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-36.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sacramento Republic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-34.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+32.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sacramento Republic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Jose Earthquakes - Sacramento Republic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(5.01) |
3.82 ↓
(3.88) |
4.28 ↑
(1.56) |
8.6%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Sacramento Republic?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Jose Earthquakes will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2.
- Sacramento Republic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- San Jose's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sacramento Republic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, San Jose is a strong favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 2.2:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against Sacramento Republic?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against San Jose Earthquakes?
Sacramento Republic has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
21.05.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
San Jose Earthquakes
4:3
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
Draw
20261/64-finals| 1 | Steel City | Pittsburgh | |
| 2 | Carolina Core | Virginia Dream | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Asheville City | Greenville | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Vistula | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | FC Naples | Red Force | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Tormenta | America CFL Spurs (WO.) | |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | Menace | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | BOHFS St. Louis | Union Omaha | 0 : 8 |
| 9 | Charlotte Independ. | Ristozi | 4 : 1 |
| 10 | Charleston | Florida Badgers | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | AV Alta | Valley 559 FC | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Chattanooga | Kalonji | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Tennessee Tempo | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Richmond Kickers | Northern Virginia | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Rhode Island | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
| 18 | Motown | Hartford Athletic | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Vermont Green | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 0 |
| 20 | Westchester SC | NY Renegades | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Lexington | Flower City Union | 9 : 0 |
| 22 | Louisville City | Southern Indiana | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Flint City | Forward Madison | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Detroit | Michigan Rangers | 5 : 1 |
| 25 | Colorado Springs | Azteca | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Ventura | Spokane Velocity | 1 : 2 |
| 27 | San Antonio | New Stars | 6 : 0 |
| 28 | Little Rock Rangers | FC Tulsa | 2 : 4 |
| 29 | New Mexico | Cruizers | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Laredo Heat | El Paso | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Orange County SC | Laguna United | 3 : 0 |
| 32 | Phoenix Rising | San Ramon | 4 : 0 |
1/32-finals| 1 | TBD #1 | Virginia Dream | |
| 2 | Asheville City | One Knoxville | |
| 3 | FC Naples | America CFL Spurs | |
| 4 | Indy Eleven | Union Omaha | |
| 5 | Charlotte Independ. | Charleston | |
| 6 | Valley 559 FC | Sacramento Republic | |
| 7 | Chattanooga | Tennessee Tempo | |
| 8 | Richmond Kickers | Loudoun | |
| 9 | Rhode Island | Hartford Athletic | |
| 10 | Vermont Green | Westchester SC | |
| 11 | Lexington | Louisville City | |
| 12 | Flint City | Detroit | |
| 13 | Colorado Springs | Spokane Velocity | |
| 14 | San Antonio | FC Tulsa | |
| 15 | New Mexico | El Paso | |
| 16 | Orange County SC | Phoenix Rising | |
