Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/05/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA).

USL Championship
Referee: Scheer J. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.28	1.57
Ball possession
60%	40%
Total shots
19	13
Shots on target
7	4
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
14	5
Passes
82% (356/432)	75% (225/299)
Yellow cards
3	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.28	1.57
xG on target (xGOT)
2.86	1.61
Total shots
19	13
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked shots
6	4
Shots inside the box
13	7
Shots outside the box
6	6
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
3	1
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
14	5
Touches in opposition box
23	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
8	13
Passes
82% (356/432)	75% (225/299)
Long passes
51% (27/53)	34% (23/67)
Passes in final third
76% (115/152)	68% (50/74)
Crosses
26% (11/43)	35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.50	0.75
Throw ins
18	18
Fouls
13	8
Tackles
69% (11/16)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
55	55
Clearances
24	35
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.61	2.86
Goals prevented
-0.39	-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', MacKinnon L. (Penalty Awarded),
11', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
18', Desmond L. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Kelly S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Gurr J. (A),
58', Marinch A. ↓, Hegardt C. ↑,
61', Essel A. 🟨,
69', MacKinnon L. ↓, Cambridge B. ↑,
69', Zubak E. ↓, Bazini Y. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Bazini Y. ⚽,
74', Ajago F. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
74', Wolff T. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
78', Spaulding R. ↓, Willey B. ↑,
83', Brewitt T. 🟨,
84', Sylla O. ↓, Espy T. ↑,
87', Essel A. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Edwards K. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Sacramento Republic
48.6%

Draw
29.4%

Orange County SC
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

29.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.1%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.99)	3.12 ↑ (3.11)	4.19 ↑ (3.79)	8.8% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of home games.
In this match, Sacramento Republic is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Orange County SC?

Sacramento Republic has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Sacramento Republic?

Orange County SC has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC were as follows:

02.11.2025 Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC 0:1

01.10.2025 Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC 2:1

12.04.2025 Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic 2:1

20.04.2024 Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic 0:2

09.03.2024 Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC 2:2

Latest results of Sacramento Republic

25.04.2026 Sacramento Republic - Spokane Velocity 4:0 ✺

21.04.2026 Brooklyn - Sacramento Republic 1:1 ✺

14.04.2026 Sacramento Republic - Minnesota United 0:1 ✺

11.04.2026 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 1:1 ✺

04.04.2026 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Orange County SC

25.04.2026 Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive 1:2 ✺

18.04.2026 Orange County SC - Lexington 0:0 ✺

11.04.2026 Tulsa - Orange County SC 0:1 ✺

08.04.2026 Orange County SC - San Antonio 2:0 ✺

04.04.2026 Orange County SC - New Mexico United 0:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	7	5	2	0	12:4	8	17
2	Louisville City	8	5	1	2	16:11	5	16
3	Detroit	7	4	1	2	9:5	4	13
4	Charleston	8	4	1	3	12:12	0	13
5	Miami FC	8	3	3	2	10:12	-2	12
6	Pittsburgh	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10
7	Hartford Athletic	7	2	4	1	7:7	0	10
8	Indy Eleven	7	2	3	2	10:9	1	9
9	Birmingham	7	2	3	2	10:9	1	9
10	Rhode Island	7	2	2	3	12:11	1	8
11	Brooklyn	8	2	1	5	8:13	-5	7
12	Loudoun	7	0	5	2	10:13	-3	5
13	Sporting Jax	8	0	1	7	5:18	-13	1

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Antonio	9	4	4	1	11:8	3	16
2	Orange County SC	9	4	3	2	9:6	3	15
3	El Paso	7	4	1	2	17:12	5	13
4	Sacramento Republic	8	3	4	1	11:7	4	13
5	Oakland Roots	8	3	4	1	14:11	3	13
6	Phoenix Rising	8	3	3	2	12:8	4	12
7	Colorado Springs	7	2	3	2	15:13	2	9
8	FC Tulsa	7	2	3	2	9:8	1	9
9	Las Vegas Lights	8	2	2	4	13:16	-3	8
10	New Mexico	5	2	0	3	5:8	-3	6
11	Lexington	8	1	3	4	7:10	-3	6
12	Monterey Bay	7	0	2	5	3:13	-10	2

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)