Result
1:2
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Fukumori K. ⚽,
- 16', 1 - 1, Nishikubo S. ⚽, Takeuchi T. (A),
- 23', Takano R. ↓, Kawano R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Rafael Furtado ↓, Takagi A. ↑,
- 60', Maeda T. ↓, Nishiyama T. ↑,
- 65', Iwasaki H. 🟨,
- 71', Fukumori K. ↓, Mori R. ↑,
- 71', Nakano K. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
- 77', Muto Y. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
- 77', Nishikubo S. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
- 87', Aoshima T. ↓, Yoshino H. ↑,
- 90+2', Igarashi T. ↓, Sugawara R. ↑,
- 90+2', Ota R. ↓, Hoshino S. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Tokida M. ⚽, Kato T. (A),
- 90+6', Kawata S. 🟨,
- 90+10', Kawano R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tochigi
37.9% | Draw
31.7% | Sagamihara
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tochigi's form might have worsened.Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sagamihara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tochigi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sagamihara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tochigi - Sagamihara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2) |
2.9 ↓
(3.1) |
3.03 ↓
(3.95) |
8.8%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 15 and 17)
- Tochigi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Sagamihara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sagamihara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tochigi has had a series of away games.
- Tochigi could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Tochigi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Tochigi won against Sagamihara?
Tochigi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagamihara won against Tochigi?
Sagamihara has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tochigi - Sagamihara were as follows:
22.02.2025
Sagamihara
-
Tochigi
1:0
Latest results of Tochigi
Latest results of Sagamihara
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 34:16 | 18 | 54 |
| 2 | Tochigi City | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 44:30 | 14 | 51 |
| 3 | Kagoshima Utd | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 52:28 | 24 | 48 |
| 4 | Osaka | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 37:23 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | Nara Club | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 6 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Tochigi SC | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 | Sagamihara | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 28:31 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 | Kanazawa | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 10 | Fukushima Utd | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 43:52 | -9 | 35 |
| 11 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:27 | -1 | 34 |
| 12 | Yamaga | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 32 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | Kochi United | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 35:46 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 | Kusatsu | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 36:41 | -5 | 27 |
| 17 | Gifu | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 26 |
| 18 | Kamatamare | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 25 |
| 19 | Nagano | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:35 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 18 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
