Result
3:2 penalties
03/05/2026 at 01:03 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Tsutsumi H. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Takahashi J. ⚽, Kida R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Okamoto K. ↓, Nodake H. ↑,
- 46', Hiraga S. ↓, Disaro A. S. ↑,
- 55', 2 - 1, Kida R. ⚽, Disaro A. S. (A),
- 58', 2 - 2, Osone K. ⚽, Sugimori K. (A),
- 58', Yoshio Kaina ↓, Terayama T. ↑,
- 70', Yanagimachi K. ↓, Enomoto K. ↑,
- 71', Kida R. ↓, Yokoyama R. ↑,
- 73', Sugimori K. ↓, Kawana R. ↑,
- 74', Enomoto K. 🟨,
- 80', Kondo Y. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
- 80', Tsutsumi H. ↓, Sato S. ↑,
- 81', Tabata T. ↓, Yoshino H. ↑,
- 81', Iwasaki H. ↓, Uchida K. ↑,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Yanagi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Disaro A. S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Sato S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Takahashi J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Nakano K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Yokoyama R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Yoshino H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Kawai A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Osone K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Terayama T. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Montedio Yamagata
38.1% | Draw
29.5% | Tochigi
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.38) |
3.11 ↓
(3.2) |
2.83 ↓
(2.9) |
9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 4.
- Recent performances by Montedio Yamagata have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tochigi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Tochigi has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Montedio Yamagata won against Tochigi?
Montedio Yamagata has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tochigi won against Montedio Yamagata?
Tochigi has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi were as follows:
15.02.2026
Tochigi
-
Montedio Yamagata
1:2
06.07.2024
Montedio Yamagata
-
Tochigi
1:0
03.03.2024
Tochigi
-
Montedio Yamagata
1:3
08.10.2023
Montedio Yamagata
-
Tochigi
2:0
12.04.2023
Tochigi
-
Montedio Yamagata
2:1
Latest results of Montedio Yamagata
Latest results of Tochigi
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 14 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 31:10 | 35 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Blaublitz | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19:13 | 28 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 5 | Montedio Yamagata | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Yokohama FC | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 28:26 | 18 |
| 7 | Kusatsu | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 17:32 | 16 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 22:28 | 15 |
| 9 | Vanraure | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Tochigi City | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16:31 | 15 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kofu | 14 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:9 | 29 |
| 2 | Iwaki | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Omiya Ardija | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 30:21 | 24 |
| 4 | Gifu | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 14 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 19:20 | 23 |
| 6 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Yamaga | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 25:19 | 19 |
| 8 | Iwata | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20:34 | 11 |
| 10 | Nagano | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12:30 | 11 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Toyama | 14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 34:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Tokushima | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 27 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Ehime | 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18:29 | 15 |
| 8 | Osaka | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Imabari | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Kamatamare | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9:26 | 13 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 14 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29:9 | 37 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:19 | 23 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Oita Trinita | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17:16 | 18 |
| 7 | Gainare Tottori | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14:25 | 14 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | 13 |
| 10 | Ryukyu | 14 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 12 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )
