Imabari vs Sagan Tosu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Imabari - Sagan Tosu
Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
67% (212/316)86% (389/453)
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
189
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
156
Corner Kicks
38
Offsides
16
Free Kicks
2117
Passes
67% (212/316)86% (389/453)
Fouls
1114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Marcus Vinicius , Ichihara R. (A),
  • 33', Matsumoto N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Matsumoto N. , Sakurai T. ,
  • 53', Tanque W. , Fujioka K. ,
  • 53', Sakai N. , Shinkawa S. ,
  • 72', Nishizawa K. , Nishiya K. ,
  • 77', Ichihara R. , Kondo T. ,
  • 79', Slivka V. , Suzuki D. ,
  • 79', Nagasawa S. , Uehara M. ,
  • 83', Arai H. 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Nishikawa J. , Nishiya K. (A),
  • 88', Kajiura Y. , Sasa S. ,
  • 88', Arai H. , Yamada T. ,

Chances of winning


Imabari
48.9%
Draw
28.4%
Sagan Tosu
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 28.3% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 28.4% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Imabari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Imabari's performance.
  • Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sagan Tosu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Imabari that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sagan Tosu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Imabari - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.46)
    3.54
    (3.33)
    4.65
    (2.83)
    -0.5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Imabari - Sagan Tosu?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Imabari will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Tosu will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tosu: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Imabari (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tosu (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Imabari has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Imabari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Imabari - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Sagan Tosu - Imabari 1:4
    Latest results of Imabari
    20.09.2025 Omiya Ardija - Imabari 2:3
    13.09.2025 Júbilo Iwata - Imabari 1:0
    30.08.2025 Imabari - Iwaki 0:2
    23.08.2025 Blaublitz Akita - Imabari 1:2
    16.08.2025 Kataller Toyama - Imabari 1:2
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito311610547:281958
    2V-Varen Nagasaki311511549:40956
    3Chiba31167843:291455
    4Vegalta Sendai311412539:281154
    5Tokushima31149833:201351
    6Omiya Ardija31148945:311450
    7Sagan Tosu31148939:34550
    8Iwata311461148:42648
    9Imabari311211839:33647
    10Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo311341438:53-1543
    11Kofu311191135:33242
    12Iwaki3110101146:40640
    13Montedio Yamagata311151545:45038
    14Blaublitz311071440:49-937
    15Fujieda MYFC31991337:41-436
    16Kumamoto31971539:49-1034
    17Oita Trinita317121224:36-1233
    18Renofa Yamaguchi314131428:40-1225
    19Toyama31591724:43-1924
    20Ehime313111730:54-2420

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League