Result
0:2
19/04/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Sakurai T. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Suzuki D. ⚽, Sakamoto K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', 0 - 2, Sakamoto K. ⚽, Hyon R. (A),
- 70', Nasu K. ↓, Iihoshi A. ↑,
- 70', Fujii K. ↓, Katori Y. ↑,
- 70', Bae Jeong-Min ↓, Ishihara O. ↑,
- 72', Sakurai T. ↓, Toyoda A. ↑,
- 72', Suzuki D. ↓, Sakai N. ↑,
- 78', Negishi K. ↓, Mishima S. ↑,
- 80', Hyon R. ↓, Tanaka Y. ↑,
- 83', Omoto Y. ↓, Handai M. ↑,
- 87', Sakamoto K. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
- 87', Matsumoto N. ↓, Kitajima F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Roasso Kumamoto
28.4% | Draw
31.5% | Sagan Tosu
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roasso Kumamoto's form might have worsened.Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roasso Kumamoto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↑
(2.63) |
2.89 ↓
(3.24) |
2.27 ↓
(2.58) |
9.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 2.
- Kumamoto is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tosu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Kumamoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tosu might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kumamoto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Roasso Kumamoto won against Sagan Tosu?
Roasso Kumamoto has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Roasso Kumamoto?
Sagan Tosu has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
15.02.2026
Sagan Tosu
-
Roasso Kumamoto
2:1
20.09.2025
Sagan Tosu
-
Roasso Kumamoto
4:2
30.03.2025
Roasso Kumamoto
-
Sagan Tosu
3:1
24.04.2024
Roasso Kumamoto
-
Sagan Tosu
0:1
12.07.2023
Sagan Tosu
-
Roasso Kumamoto
3:4
Latest results of Roasso Kumamoto
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 14 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 31:10 | 35 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Blaublitz | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19:13 | 28 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 5 | Montedio Yamagata | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Yokohama FC | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 28:26 | 18 |
| 7 | Kusatsu | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 17:32 | 16 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 22:28 | 15 |
| 9 | Vanraure | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Tochigi City | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16:31 | 15 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kofu | 14 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:9 | 29 |
| 2 | Iwaki | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Omiya Ardija | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 30:21 | 24 |
| 4 | Gifu | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 14 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 19:20 | 23 |
| 6 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Yamaga | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 25:19 | 19 |
| 8 | Iwata | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20:34 | 11 |
| 10 | Nagano | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12:30 | 11 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Toyama | 14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 34:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Tokushima | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 27 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Ehime | 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18:29 | 15 |
| 8 | Osaka | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Imabari | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Kamatamare | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9:26 | 13 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 14 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29:9 | 37 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:19 | 23 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Oita Trinita | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17:16 | 18 |
| 7 | Gainare Tottori | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14:25 | 14 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | 13 |
| 10 | Ryukyu | 14 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 12 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )
