Sagan Tosu vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Sagan Tosu - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Result
1:4
21/07/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1621
Shots on Goal
59
Shots off Goal
1112
Free Kicks
615
Corner Kicks
99
Offsides
11
Goalkeeper Saves
54
Fouls
145
Yellow Cards
20
Total Passes
459383
Completed Passes
361285
Tackles
1012
Attacks
6696
Dangerous Attacks
5057
Clearances Completed
3427
Crosses Completed
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Yamazaki K. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Marcos Junior , Vieira D. (A),
  • 41', Fukuta A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Marcelo Ryan , Harada W. (A),
  • 61', Vieira D. , Mitsuta M. ,
  • 61', Marcos Junior , Kato M. ,
  • 64', Slivka V. , Togashi C. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Matsumoto T. , Arai N. (A),
  • 78', Nakahara H. , Horigome Y. ,
  • 78', Kim Tae-Hyeon , Ueebisu K. ,
  • 86', Fukuta A. , Kiyotake H. ,
  • 86', Yokoyama A. , Tezuka K. ,
  • 87', 1 - 3, Ohashi Y. , Kato M. (A),
  • 90+1', Higashi S. , Shichi T. ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 4, Mitsuta M. ,
  • 90+7', Matsumoto T. , Aoyama T. ,
  • 90+7', Arai N. , Chajima Y. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sagan Tosu
19.7%
Draw
23.1%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.2% 20.1% 64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7% 22.3% 71.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sagan Tosu that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sanfrecce Hiroshima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sagan Tosu - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.76
    (6.13)
    4.09
    (4.65)
    1.64
    (1.44)
    6.5%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 31.2%83%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 5).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Recently Hiroshima have a series of home games.
    • In this match Hiroshima is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tosu won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 9-26.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-12.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    09.03.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Sagan Tosu 4:0
    02.09.2023 Sagan Tosu - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:2
    09.04.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Sagan Tosu 1:0
    05.11.2022 Sagan Tosu - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:2
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers32204852:282464
    2Vissel Kobe32186843:271660
    3Kyoto32178756:342259
    4Kashiwa Reysol321512547:331457
    5Machida32167948:331555
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima32167937:221555
    7Kawasaki Frontale321410859:441552
    8Urawa Reds321310939:32749
    9Gamba Osaka321541346:47-149
    10Cerezo Osaka3211101149:47243
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3210101234:38-440
    12Okayama321171428:34-640
    13FC Tokyo321171435:45-1040
    14Verdy331091421:35-1439
    15Avispa Fukuoka329101331:37-637
    16Nagoya Grampus32991438:47-936
    17Yokohama F. Marinos32871732:43-1131
    18Yokohama FC32871721:36-1531
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata32491929:54-2521

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
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          Relegation ~ J2 League