Result
1:4
21/07/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- JAPAN: J1 League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 459 | 383 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 361 | 285 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 66 | 96 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 50 | 57 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 34 | 27 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Yamazaki K. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Marcos Junior ⚽, Vieira D. (A),
- 41', Fukuta A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', 1 - 1, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Harada W. (A),
- 61', Vieira D. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
- 61', Marcos Junior ↓, Kato M. ↑,
- 64', Slivka V. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Matsumoto T. ⚽, Arai N. (A),
- 78', Nakahara H. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
- 78', Kim Tae-Hyeon ↓, Ueebisu K. ↑,
- 86', Fukuta A. ↓, Kiyotake H. ↑,
- 86', Yokoyama A. ↓, Tezuka K. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 3, Ohashi Y. ⚽, Kato M. (A),
- 90+1', Higashi S. ↓, Shichi T. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 4, Mitsuta M. ⚽,
- 90+7', Matsumoto T. ↓, Aoyama T. ↑,
- 90+7', Arai N. ↓, Chajima Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu
19.7% | Draw
23.1% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima
57.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sagan Tosu that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+14.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sanfrecce Hiroshima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sagan Tosu - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.76 ↓
(6.13) |
4.09 ↓
(4.65) |
1.64 ↑
(1.44) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 31.2% – 83%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 5).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 0.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Recently Hiroshima have a series of home games.
- In this match Hiroshima is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Tosu won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 9-26.
- Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-12.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Sagan Tosu has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Sagan Tosu?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
09.03.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Sagan Tosu
4:0
02.09.2023
Sagan Tosu
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:2
09.04.2023
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Sagan Tosu
1:0
05.11.2022
Sagan Tosu
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:2
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
