Tokyo Verdy vs Sagan Tosu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan Emperors Cup Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu
Result
1:0
16/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Emperors Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Fukuda Y. , Arai Y. ,
  • 55', Kawasaki S. , Saito K. ,
  • 55', Yamada H. , Shinkawa S. ,
  • 69', 1 - 0, Someno I. ,
  • 71', Nishiya K. , Hino S. ,
  • 71', Nishizawa K. , Suzuki D. ,
  • 71', Nagasawa S. , Sakaiya K. ,
  • 72', Matsuhashi Y. , Shirai R. ,
  • 72', Meshino S. , Morita K. ,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 78', Nishikawa J. , Honda F. ,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 86', Inami T. , Hirakawa R. ,

Chances of winning


Tokyo Verdy
45.6%
Draw
28.2%
Sagan Tosu
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 28.9% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 31.6% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sagan Tosu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.83)
    3.28
    (3.15)
    3.51
    (4.28)
    8.5%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tokyo Verdy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tosu is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tosu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Tokyo Verdy is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu 2:0
    03.05.2024 Sagan Tosu - Tokyo Verdy 0:2
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    12.07.2025 Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita 2:1
    21.06.2025 Omiya Ardija - Sagan Tosu 0:0
    11.06.2025 Sagan Tosu - Ehime 1:0
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1Vissel KobeBye
    2KamatamareKochi United2 : 3
    3KofuBye
    4Fukui Utd.Honda FC1 : 0
    5Albirex NiigataBye
    6Fukuyama CityFC Tokushima2 : 1
    7Kashiwa ReysolBye
    8Sendai U.Toyo University2 : 4
    9Kawasaki FrontaleBye
    10Fukushima UtdTokyo International University9 : 1
    11IwataBye
    12MitoSagamihara0 : 1
    13Yokohama F. MarinosBye
    14Reinmeer AomoriBTOP Hokkaido5 : 0
    15IwakiBye
    16ByeBlaublitz
    17Gamba OsakaBye
    18Veertien MieYamanashi Gakuin1 : 0
    19Montedio YamagataBye
    20ImabariKagoshima Utd0 : 2
    25Kashima AntlersBye
    26KusatsuHosei1 : 0
    27V-Varen NagasakiBye
    28Omiya ArdijaTsukuba Univ.0 : 1
    29Avispa FukuokaBye
    30Okinawa SVVerspah Oita4 : 1
    31OkayamaBye
    32Belugarosso IwamiGiravanz Kitakyushu0 : 1
    33Sanfrecce HiroshimaBye
    34Brew SagaHirondelle Kumamoto2 : 1
    35Fujieda MYFCBye
    36Baleine ShimonosekiInternational Pacific Univesity2 : 1
    37Shonan BellmareBye
    38GifuToyama Shinjo3 : 1
    39Shimizu S-PulseBye
    40YamagaOsaka2 : 1
    41FC TokyoBye
    42KanazawaChukyo6 : 0
    43Hokkaido Consadole SapporoBye
    44Oita TrinitaLvnirosso2 : 0
    45Cerezo OsakaBye
    46WakayamaBasara Hyogo4 : 3
    47TokushimaBye
    48ByeRenofa Yamaguchi
    49MachidaBye
    50Kyoto SangyoMoriyama Samurai3 : 1
    51Vegalta SendaiBye
    52ToyamaJuntendo Univ.2 : 1
    53KyotoBye
    54Nara ClubNiigata University3 : 1
    55Yokohama FCBye
    56Grulla MoriokaNorth Asia University6 : 0
    57VerdyBye
    58Tochigi SCOyama5 : 0
    59Sagan TosuBye
    60EhimeMitsubishi Nagasaki1 : 0
    61Nagoya GrampusBye
    62Veroskronos TsunoGainare Tottori2 : 1
    63ChibaBye
    64ByeKumamoto

    1/32-finals
    1Vissel KobeKochi United4 : 1
    2KofuFukui Utd.2 : 1
    3Albirex NiigataFukuyama City1 : 0
    4Kashiwa ReysolToyo University0 : 2
    5Kawasaki FrontaleFukushima Utd4 : 3
    6IwataSagamihara1 : 2
    7Yokohama F. MarinosReinmeer Aomori0 : 2
    8IwakiBlaublitz1 : 2
    9Gamba OsakaVeertien Mie2 : 1
    10Montedio YamagataKagoshima Utd2 : 1
    13Kashima AntlersKusatsu4 : 0
    14V-Varen NagasakiTsukuba Univ.2 : 1
    15Avispa FukuokaOkinawa SV2 : 0
    16OkayamaGiravanz Kitakyushu0 : 2
    17Sanfrecce HiroshimaBrew Saga3 : 1
    18Fujieda MYFCBaleine Shimonoseki2 : 0
    19Shonan BellmareGifu2 : 0
    20Shimizu S-PulseYamaga4 : 2
    21FC TokyoKanazawa3 : 1
    22Hokkaido Consadole SapporoOita Trinita2 : 3
    23Cerezo OsakaWakayama5 : 0
    24TokushimaRenofa Yamaguchi2 : 1
    25MachidaKyoto Sangyo2 : 1
    26Vegalta SendaiToyama0 : 1
    27KyotoNara Club1 : 0
    28Yokohama FCGrulla Morioka2 : 1
    29VerdyTochigi SC3 : 1
    30Sagan TosuEhime1 : 0
    31Nagoya GrampusVeroskronos Tsuno3 : 0
    32ChibaKumamoto1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Vissel KobeKofu2 : 1
    2Albirex NiigataToyo University1 : 2
    3Kawasaki FrontaleSagamihara0 : 1
    4Reinmeer AomoriBlaublitz1 : 2
    5Gamba OsakaMontedio Yamagata4 : 5
    7Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki2 : 1
    8Avispa FukuokaGiravanz Kitakyushu1 : 0
    9Sanfrecce HiroshimaFujieda MYFC5 : 2
    10Shonan BellmareShimizu S-Pulse0 : 1
    11FC TokyoOita Trinita2 : 0
    12Cerezo OsakaTokushima2 : 0
    13MachidaToyama2 : 1
    14KyotoYokohama FC4 : 3
    15VerdySagan Tosu1 : 0
    16Nagoya GrampusKumamoto2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Vissel KobeToyo University
    2SagamiharaBlaublitz
    3Montedio YamagataUrawa Reds
    4Kashima AntlersAvispa Fukuoka
    5Sanfrecce HiroshimaShimizu S-Pulse
    6FC TokyoCerezo Osaka
    7MachidaKyoto
    8VerdyNagoya Grampus