Vegalta Sendai vs Sagan Tosu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Vegalta Sendai - Sagan Tosu
Result
3:2
26/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
49
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
86% (400/466)82% (439/536)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
10
Total shots
916
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
56
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
00
Passes
86% (400/466)82% (439/536)
Fouls
128

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Nishikawa J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Eron , Goke Y. ,
  • 49', 0 - 2, Morishita R. , Nishiya K. (A),
  • 50', Nishiya K. 🟨,
  • 54', Arai H. 🟨,
  • 59', Okuyama M. , Ishio R. ,
  • 59', Kudo A. , Takeda H. ,
  • 62', Nishiya K. , Sakurai T. ,
  • 62', Yamada H. , Shinkawa S. ,
  • 62', Nishizawa K. , Slivka V. ,
  • 71', Ishio R. 🟥,
  • 75', Nagasawa S. , Uehara M. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Miyazaki K. , Sugata M. (A),
  • 80', Araki S. , Ishii H. ,
  • 82', Sagara R. , Nakada Y. ,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Miyazaki K. ,
  • 82', Morishita R. , Imazu Y. ,
  • 85', Matsumoto N. , Kimoto Y. ,
  • 90+3', Miyazaki K. , Kobayashi K. ,
  • 90+10', 3 - 2, Kobayashi K. ,

Chances of winning


Vegalta Sendai
42.3%
Draw
27.8%
Sagan Tosu
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 27.7% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 28.7% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vegalta Sendai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Vegalta Sendai - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.16)
    3.34
    (3.33)
    3.15
    (3.1)
    7.5%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Vegalta Sendai - Sagan Tosu?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sendai will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tosu will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sendai: 30.4%86.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sendai won 2.
    • In recent matches, Sendai has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tosu is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tosu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sendai could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sendai won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sendai won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vegalta Sendai - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Sagan Tosu - Vegalta Sendai 0:1
    Latest results of Vegalta Sendai
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito341810651:302164
    2V-Varen Nagasaki341712556:411563
    3Chiba34178944:311359
    4Vegalta Sendai341513643:321158
    5Tokushima34169938:211757
    6Omiya Ardija34169950:341657
    7Sagan Tosu341681044:38656
    8Iwata341661252:47554
    9Iwaki3413101151:411049
    10Imabari341213941:36549
    11Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo341441641:56-1546
    12Montedio Yamagata341271550:49143
    13Kofu3411101336:39-343
    14Blaublitz341091540:50-1039
    15Oita Trinita348141225:36-1138
    16Fujieda MYFC349101538:44-637
    17Kumamoto34981740:53-1335
    18Renofa Yamaguchi345141531:43-1229
    19Toyama34691925:46-2127
    20Ehime343112033:62-2920

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League