Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 24
- Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (449/536) | 76% (261/342) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (449/536) | 76% (261/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 43% (22/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (131/188) | 63% (51/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Davitashvili Z. (Penalty Awarded),
- 23', Thomas T. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Camara M. ⚽, Mbayo D. (A),
- 38', 2 - 1, Boakye A. ⚽, Stassin L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Aradj Y. ↓, Sellouki M. ↑,
- 62', Kante A. 🟨,
- 67', Miladinovic I. ↓, Tardieu F. ↑,
- 67', Cardona I. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
- 67', Mandouki C. ↓, Dago T. ↑,
- 71', Tardieu F. 🟨,
- 80', Kante A. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
- 88', Thomas T. ↓, Tchokounte M. ↑,
- 89', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Annan E. ↑,
- 90+1', Boakye A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Saint-Étienne
62.3% | Draw
22.8% | Laval
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Saint-Étienne - Laval Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.55) |
4.13 ↑
(4.08) |
6.26 ↑
(5.55) |
6.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Laval?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Saint-Étienne (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Saint-Étienne (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Saint-Étienne (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Saint-Étienne will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Saint-Étienne will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Recent performances by Saint-Étienne have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Laval is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Saint-Étienne is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M.
(Inactive)
Jaber M.
(Injury)
Lamba C.
(Injury)
Tardieu F.
(Inactive)
Traore L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Laval: Maddy E.
(Inactive)
Maggiotti J.
(Inactive)
Samb L.
(Inactive)
Vargas T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Laval?
Saint-Étienne has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Laval won against Saint-Étienne?
Laval has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Laval were as follows:
09.08.2025
Laval
-
Saint-Étienne
3:3
13.01.2024
Saint-Étienne
-
Laval
0:0
23.10.2023
Laval
-
Saint-Étienne
0:1
13.05.2023
Laval
-
Saint-Étienne
2:1
10.01.2023
Saint-Étienne
-
Laval
1:0
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 57 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Red Star | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 5 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
