Result
1:0
06/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 28
- Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | K Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (440/520) | 72% (246/340) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 18 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 0% (0/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (440/520) | 72% (246/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (29/47) | 24% (13/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (110/153) | 60% (51/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 0.57 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 47 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Machado D. 🟨,
- 30', Medina F. 🟨,
- 32', Macon Y. 🟨,
- 45+5', Cardona I. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Tardieu F. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
- 65', Bouchouari B. 🟨,
- 66', Said W. ↓, Koyalipou G. ↑,
- 66', Sotoca F. ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
- 68', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Old B. ↑,
- 68', Cardona I. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 0, Koyalipou G. ⚽, Machado D. (A),
- 79', Aguilar R. ↓, Antonio K. ↑,
- 86', Machado D. ↓, Ojediran H. ↑,
- 86', Diouf A. ↓, Fulgini A. ↑,
- 87', Petrot L. ↓, Abdelhamid Y. ↑,
- 87', Ojediran H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lens
60.3% | Draw
22.1% | Saint-Étienne
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Lens - Saint-Étienne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.63) |
4.35 ↑
(4.11) |
5.38 ↑
(5.25) |
5.3%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lens - Saint-Étienne?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lens will win
(87 of 94 users predict this - 92.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.24% – 97.86%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lens won 4.
- Recent matches Lens is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Saint-Étienne is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Lens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Lens is a favorite.
- There will not play in Lens: Gradit J.
(Face Injury)
Jhoanner Chavez
(Ankle Injury)
Labeau Lascary R.
(Knee Injury)
Satriano M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A.
(Ankle Injury)
Miladinovic I.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Lens: Juma Bah A.
(Tooth injury)
Petric D.
(Back Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Lens won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lens won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Saint-Étienne?
Lens has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Lens?
Saint-Étienne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
19.10.2024
Saint-Étienne
-
Lens
0:2
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
