Lens vs Saint-Étienne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:0
06/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 28
  • Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoK Sport 2
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.61
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
85% (440/520)72% (246/340)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.75
Total shots
208
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
4118
Through passes
71% (5/7)0% (0/2)
Offsides
70
Free Kicks
2014
Passes
85% (440/520)72% (246/340)
Long passes
62% (29/47)24% (13/54)
Passes in final third
72% (110/153)60% (51/85)
Crosses
47% (9/19)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.870.57
Fouls
1420
Tackles
62% (8/13)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5947
Clearances Total
918
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.750.77
Goals prevented
0.75-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Machado D. 🟨,
  • 30', Medina F. 🟨,
  • 32', Macon Y. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Cardona I. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Tardieu F. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
  • 65', Bouchouari B. 🟨,
  • 66', Said W. ↓, Koyalipou G. ↑,
  • 66', Sotoca F. ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
  • 68', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Old B. ↑,
  • 68', Cardona I. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
  • 75', 1 - 0, Koyalipou G. ⚽, Machado D. (A),
  • 79', Aguilar R. ↓, Antonio K. ↑,
  • 86', Machado D. ↓, Ojediran H. ↑,
  • 86', Diouf A. ↓, Fulgini A. ↑,
  • 87', Petrot L. ↓, Abdelhamid Y. ↑,
  • 87', Ojediran H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lens
60.3%		Draw
22.1%		Saint-Étienne
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 23.2% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 21.9% 19.3%

Lens - Saint-Étienne Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.57 ↓
(1.63)		 4.35 ↑
(4.11)		 5.38 ↑
(5.25)		 5.3%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lens - Saint-Étienne?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Lens (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC, 1st Half - Saint-Étienne (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Lens will win (87 of 94 users predict this - 92.55%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.24% – 97.86%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lens (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Saint-Étienne (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lens won 4.
    • Recent matches Lens is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Saint-Étienne is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Lens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Lens is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lens: Gradit J. (Face Injury) Jhoanner Chavez (Ankle Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Knee Injury) Satriano M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A. (Ankle Injury) Miladinovic I. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Lens: Juma Bah A. (Tooth injury) Petric D. (Back Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Lens won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lens won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Saint-Étienne - Lens 0:2
    Latest results of Lens
    30.03.2025 Lille - Lens 1:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Lens - Rennes 1:0 ✺
    08.03.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lens 0:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Lens - Le Havre 3:4 ✺
    23.02.2025 Nantes - Lens 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    29.03.2025 Saint-Étienne - Paris Saint-Germain 1:6 ✺
    09.03.2025 Le Havre - Saint-Étienne 1:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Saint-Étienne - Nice 1:3 ✺
    22.02.2025 Saint-Étienne - Angers 3:3 ✺
    15.02.2025 Olympique Marseille - Saint-Étienne 5:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens18141332:131943
    2PSG18133240:152542
    3Marseille18112541:192235
    4Lyon18103527:18933
    5Lille18102633:25832
    6Rennes1887330:25531
    7Strasbourg1883728:22627
    8Toulouse1875629:23626
    9Monaco1872928:33-523
    10Brest1864824:29-522
    11Angers1864820:25-522
    12Lorient1857623:30-722
    13Paris FC1854924:32-819
    14Le Havre1847716:24-819
    15Nice18531021:35-1418
    16Nantes18351017:30-1314
    17Auxerre18331214:28-1412
    18Metz18331219:40-2112

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          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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