Lens vs Saint-Étienne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Lens - Saint-Étienne
Result
1:0
06/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 28
  • Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoK Sport 2
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.61
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
85% (440/520)72% (246/340)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.75
Total shots
208
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
4118
Through passes
71% (5/7)0% (0/2)
Offsides
70
Free Kicks
2014
Passes
85% (440/520)72% (246/340)
Long passes
62% (29/47)24% (13/54)
Passes in final third
72% (110/153)60% (51/85)
Crosses
47% (9/19)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.870.57
Fouls
1420
Tackles
62% (8/13)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5947
Clearances Total
918
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.750.77
Goals prevented
0.75-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Machado D. 🟨,
  • 30', Medina F. 🟨,
  • 32', Macon Y. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Cardona I. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Tardieu F. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
  • 65', Bouchouari B. 🟨,
  • 66', Said W. ↓, Koyalipou G. ↑,
  • 66', Sotoca F. ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
  • 68', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Old B. ↑,
  • 68', Cardona I. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
  • 75', 1 - 0, Koyalipou G. ⚽, Machado D. (A),
  • 79', Aguilar R. ↓, Antonio K. ↑,
  • 86', Machado D. ↓, Ojediran H. ↑,
  • 86', Diouf A. ↓, Fulgini A. ↑,
  • 87', Petrot L. ↓, Abdelhamid Y. ↑,
  • 87', Ojediran H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lens
60.3%		Draw
22.1%		Saint-Étienne
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 23.2% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 21.9% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
    •

    Lens - Saint-Étienne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.57 ↓
    (1.63)    		 4.35 ↑
    (4.11)    		 5.38 ↑
    (5.25)    		 5.3%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Lens - Saint-Étienne?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Lens will win (87 of 94 users predict this - 92.55%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.24% – 97.86%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lens won 4.
    • Recent matches Lens is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Saint-Étienne is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Lens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Lens is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lens: Gradit J. (Face Injury) Jhoanner Chavez (Ankle Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Knee Injury) Satriano M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A. (Ankle Injury) Miladinovic I. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Lens: Juma Bah A. (Tooth injury) Petric D. (Back Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Lens won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lens won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Saint-Étienne - Lens 0:2
    Latest results of Lens
    30.03.2025 Lille - Lens 1:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Lens - Rennes 1:0 ✺
    08.03.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lens 0:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Lens - Le Havre 3:4 ✺
    23.02.2025 Nantes - Lens 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    29.03.2025 Saint-Étienne - Paris Saint-Germain 1:6 ✺
    09.03.2025 Le Havre - Saint-Étienne 1:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Saint-Étienne - Nice 1:3 ✺
    22.02.2025 Saint-Étienne - Angers 3:3 ✺
    15.02.2025 Olympique Marseille - Saint-Étienne 5:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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