Lille vs Saint-Étienne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Lille - Saint-Étienne
Result
4:1
01/02/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 20
  • Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, TV5
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandV Sport+
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 3
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.202.07
Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
299
Shots on Goal
132
Shots off Goal
74
Blocked Shots
93
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
71
Shots inside the Box
197
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
19
Free Kicks
1211
Offsides
11
Fouls
1112
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2319
Touches in the Opposition Box
4317
Passes
89% (553/622)74% (224/303)
Passes in the final third
84% (175/209)65% (42/65)
Crosses
42% (8/19)17% (1/6)
Tackles
83% (19/23)68% (15/22)
Clearances Total
517
Interceptions
916

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Davitashvili Z. (Pen),
  • 32', 1 - 1, David J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Mandi A. , Meunier T. ,
  • 46', Gomes A. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 46', Cardona I. , Boakye A. ,
  • 48', Batubinsika D. 🟥,
  • 50', Boakye A. 🟨,
  • 51', Stassin L. , Abdelhamid Y. ,
  • 62', Gudmundsson G. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Sahraoui O. , David J. (A),
  • 64', Cabella R. , Mbappe E. ,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Gudmundsson G. , Haraldsson H. (A),
  • 73', Petrot L. , Cornud P. ,
  • 73', Mouton L. , Macon Y. ,
  • 77', Gudmundsson G. , Bakker M. ,
  • 78', 4 - 1, Sahraoui O. , Bakker M. (A),
  • 84', Haraldsson H. , Lachaab Y. ,
  • 87', Davitashvili Z. , N'Guessan D. ,

Chances of winning


Lille
63.3%
Draw
22.1%
Saint-Étienne
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.4% 18.1% 10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7% 17.5% 10.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.
  • Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Lille - Saint-Étienne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.33)
    4.33
    (5.26)
    6.55
    (9.09)
    4.8%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Saint-Étienne?
  • Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 42 - 68.9%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 6 - 9.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 21.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 57.3%80.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 0.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Lille is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Lille: Andre B. (Yellow Cards) Bentaleb N. (Heart Problems) Fernandez-Pardo M. (Ankle Injury) Ismaily (Calf Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Moueffek A. (Illness) Old B. (Knee Injury) Sissoko I. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Cardona I. (Personal Reasons) Macon Y. (Knee Injury) Monconduit T. (Leg Injury) Wadji I. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lille won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:5 (average 1.4:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
    13.09.2024 Saint-Étienne - Lille 1:0
    Latest results of Lille
    29.01.2025 Lille - Feyenoord 6:1
    25.01.2025 Strasbourg - Lille 2:1
    21.01.2025 Liverpool - Lille 2:1
    17.01.2025 Lille - Nice 2:1
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
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    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2