Result
4:1
01/02/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 20
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, TV5 |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | V Sport+ |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App |
 Montenegro | Arena Premium 3 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.20 | 2.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 43 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (553/622) | 74% (224/303) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 84% (175/209) | 65% (42/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 17% (1/6) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (19/23) | 68% (15/22) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Davitashvili Z. (Pen),
- 32', 1 - 1, David J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Mandi A. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
- 46', Gomes A. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 46', Cardona I. ↓, Boakye A. ↑,
- 48', Batubinsika D. 🟥,
- 50', Boakye A. 🟨,
- 51', Stassin L. ↓, Abdelhamid Y. ↑,
- 62', Gudmundsson G. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 1, Sahraoui O. ⚽, David J. (A),
- 64', Cabella R. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 1, Gudmundsson G. ⚽, Haraldsson H. (A),
- 73', Petrot L. ↓, Cornud P. ↑,
- 73', Mouton L. ↓, Macon Y. ↑,
- 77', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Bakker M. ↑,
- 78', 4 - 1, Sahraoui O. ⚽, Bakker M. (A),
- 84', Haraldsson H. ↓, Lachaab Y. ↑,
- 87', Davitashvili Z. ↓, N'Guessan D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lille
63.3% | Draw
22.1% | Saint-Étienne
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Lille - Saint-Étienne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.33) |
4.33 ↓
(5.26) |
6.55 ↓
(9.09) |
4.8%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Lille - Saint-Étienne?
Users Predictions:
61 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 42 - 68.9%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 6 - 9.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 21.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 57.3% – 80.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 0.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Lille is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Andre B.
(Yellow Cards)
Bentaleb N.
(Heart Problems)
Fernandez-Pardo M.
(Ankle Injury)
Ismaily
(Calf Injury)
Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
Zhegrova E.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Moueffek A.
(Illness)
Old B.
(Knee Injury)
Sissoko I.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Cardona I.
(Personal Reasons)
Macon Y.
(Knee Injury)
Monconduit T.
(Leg Injury)
Wadji I.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lille won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:5 (average 1.4:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Saint-Étienne?
Lille has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Lille?
Saint-Étienne has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
13.09.2024
Saint-Étienne
-
Lille
1:0
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
