Result
4:1
01/02/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 20
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, TV5 |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | V Sport+ |
France | DAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
India | GXR World |
Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Mexico | Caliente TV App |
Montenegro | Arena Premium 3 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-macedonia | Arena Premium 3 |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Philippines | Cignal Play |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | beIN Sports |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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3.20 | 2.07 |
Ball Possession |
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67% | 33% |
Goal Attempts |
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29 | 9 |
Shots on Goal |
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13 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
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7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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9 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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19 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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10 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 9 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 11 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Fouls |
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11 | 12 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 1 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 19 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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43 | 17 |
Passes |
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89% (553/622) | 74% (224/303) |
Passes in the final third |
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84% (175/209) | 65% (42/65) |
Crosses |
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42% (8/19) | 17% (1/6) |
Tackles |
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83% (19/23) | 68% (15/22) |
Clearances Total |
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5 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Davitashvili Z. (Pen),
- 32', 1 - 1, David J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Mandi A. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
- 46', Gomes A. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 46', Cardona I. ↓, Boakye A. ↑,
- 48', Batubinsika D. 🟥,
- 50', Boakye A. 🟨,
- 51', Stassin L. ↓, Abdelhamid Y. ↑,
- 62', Gudmundsson G. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 1, Sahraoui O. ⚽, David J. (A),
- 64', Cabella R. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 1, Gudmundsson G. ⚽, Haraldsson H. (A),
- 73', Petrot L. ↓, Cornud P. ↑,
- 73', Mouton L. ↓, Macon Y. ↑,
- 77', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Bakker M. ↑,
- 78', 4 - 1, Sahraoui O. ⚽, Bakker M. (A),
- 84', Haraldsson H. ↓, Lachaab Y. ↑,
- 87', Davitashvili Z. ↓, N'Guessan D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lille 63.3% | Draw 22.1% | Saint-Étienne 14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Lille - Saint-Étienne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↑ (1.33) |
4.33 ↓ (5.26) |
6.55 ↓ (9.09) |
4.8% (5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Lille - Saint-Étienne?
Users Predictions:
61 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 42 - 68.9%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 6 - 9.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 21.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 57.3% – 80.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 0.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Lille is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Andre B.
(Yellow Cards)
Bentaleb N.
(Heart Problems)
Fernandez-Pardo M.
(Ankle Injury)
Ismaily
(Calf Injury)
Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
Zhegrova E.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Moueffek A.
(Illness)
Old B.
(Knee Injury)
Sissoko I.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Cardona I.
(Personal Reasons)
Macon Y.
(Knee Injury)
Monconduit T.
(Leg Injury)
Wadji I.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lille won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:5 (average 1.4:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Saint-Étienne?
Lille has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Lille?
Saint-Étienne has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
13.09.2024
Saint-Étienne
-
Lille
1:0
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2