Arba Minch vs Saint George – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 27

Chances of winning


Arba Minch
26.9%
Draw
34.3%
Saint George
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 32.2% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 32.6% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Saint George has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Arba Minch - Saint George Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.36
    (3.05)
    2.64
    (2.82)
    2.33
    (2.38)
    10.6%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Saint George might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arba Minch won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arba Minch - Saint George were as follows:
    02.12.2025 Saint George - Arba Minch 1:0
    08.06.2025 Arba Minch - Saint George 0:0
    03.11.2024 Saint George - Arba Minch 1:0
    06.11.2022 Saint George - Arba Minch 1:1
    Latest results of Arba Minch
    Latest results of Saint George
    Ethiopian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sidama Bunna26139432:171548
    2Negele Arsi Ketema26119625:18742
    3Hawassa26118730:21941
    4Mechal261010633:211240
    5Fasil Kenema26912518:15339
    6Ethio Electric26911620:15538
    7Ethiopia Bunna25106925:25036
    8Bahir Dar Kenema26714519:18135
    9Ethiopia Nigd Bank26810835:32334
    10Adama City26712724:27-333
    11Hadiya Hossana26881022:27-532
    12Dire Dawa26711818:25-732
    13Welayta Dicha26613727:26131
    14Sheger Ketema26613723:24-131
    15St. George25871020:22-231
    16Ethiopian Insurance26611920:20029
    17Welwalo Adigrat26611919:26-729
    18Shire Endaselassie266101017:21-428
    19Mekelle 70 Enderta264111115:29-1423
    20Arba Menche264101218:31-1322

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation