Result
1:0
13/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 27
Chances of winning
Arba Minch 26.9% | Draw 34.4% | Saint George 38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Saint George has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Arba Minch - Saint George Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.36 ↑ (3.05) |
2.63 ↓ (2.82) |
2.34 ↓ (2.38) |
10.7% (10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Saint George might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arba Minch won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Arba Minch won against Saint George?
Arba Minch has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint George won against Arba Minch?
Saint George has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arba Minch - Saint George were as follows:
02.12.2025
Saint George
-
Arba Minch
1:0
08.06.2025
Arba Minch
-
Saint George
0:0
03.11.2024
Saint George
-
Arba Minch
1:0
06.11.2022
Saint George
-
Arba Minch
1:1
Latest results of Arba Minch
Latest results of Saint George
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 35:17 | 18 | 55 |
| 2 | Mechal | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 47 |
| 3 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 45 |
| 4 | Hawassa | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 43 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 22:17 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 29 | 7 | 16 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 37 |
| 9 | Sheger Ketema | 29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 36 |
| 10 | St. George | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 | Welayta Dicha | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 35 |
| 12 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 35:35 | 0 | 35 |
| 13 | Welwalo Adigrat | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Hadiya Hossana | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 35 |
| 15 | Ethiopian Insurance | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 24:23 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Adama City | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 34 |
| 17 | Dire Dawa | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 33 |
| 18 | Shire Endaselassie | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 18:23 | -5 | 30 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 30 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 29 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 21:34 | -13 | 25 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation